Outside the Beltway

Looking for historical analogs and looking at some numbers.

Alas, it probably doesn’t matter.

The numbers aren’t real. Not yet, anyway.

Yes the riots were a disgrace but the Democrats . . . .

A potentially catastrophic delay has been averted.

Hypocrisy, lies, and dangerous rhetoric from Trump and his allies on mail-in voting.

The races are more alike—and yet more different—than we seem to remember.

As the race for the Democratic nomination heads into the fall, it looks as if it has already winnowed itself down to a top three.

The map shows the flaws of the Electoral College

Four years ago, Donald Trump began his campaign for President. What has followed has been as bad as could have been predicted that day.

In 2016, a crowded Republican field yielded an unlikely nominee. Could history repeat itself in 2020?

It’s far too early, but Joe Biden’s advantages in these polls of Democratic voters can’t be ignored.

As expected. California Senator Kamala Harris has entered the race for President.

On the way out the door, Scott Walker signed a bill to take powers away from his successor (and demonstrated a lack of understanding of Venn diagrams).

Republican lawmakers in Michigan and Wisconsin are responding to their party’s losses at the Gubernatorial level by attempting to restrict the powers of the incoming Democratic Governor.

In addition to winning back the House, Democrats also made gains in Governor’s races.

The 2018 midterms were mostly about Donald Trump. The results were idiosyncratic.

For better or worse, here are my projections for the midterm elections.

President Trump is now claiming he will end birthright citizenship for the children of undocumented immigrants via Executive Order. He clearly lacks the authority to do this.

A new poll suggests that Governor Scott Walker could be in trouble as he seeks a third term as Governor of Wisconsin, but he’s been counted out before only bounce back and confound the doubters.

Paul Ryan won’t be running for re-election this year, opening up both a Congressional seat and a leadership spot.

My predictions for the House and Senate.

Republicans are abandoning Donald Trump in droves after last night’s revelation of lewd remarks he made in 2005.

Yesterday, Hillary Clinton pointed out truths about Donald Trump that his fellow Republicans were too scared to point out during the primary..

Republican hopes that Wisconsin might go Republican this year seem to be slipping away.

Big losses for proponents of Voter ID laws in two swing states.

The 2016 Republican Convention is barely halfway over, but some Republicans are already looking ahead to 2020.

Predictably, the latest effort to prevent Donald Trump from gaining the Republican nomination has ended in failure.

A small group of Republican delegates is apparently discussing yet another quixotic effort to deny Donald Trump the nomination.

With top Republicans recoiling from the realization that the GOP is stuck with Trump in 2016, the ground seems to be being prepared for a conflict that could tear the GOP apart regardless of who wins in November.

Several top Republicans have already said that they would not accept a position on a ticket with Donald Trump, so who might he choose?

Ted Cruz pulled off a win in Wisconsin, giving some hope to the “Stop Trump” crowd.

Ted Cruz and Donald Trump are locked in battle in a primary that could decide whether or not Donald Trump can get a majority of delegates prior to the GOP Convention.

Is Ted Cruz really the only alternative to Donald Trump?

There are some signs of hope out of Wisconsin for those trying to stop Donald Trump.

A renewed internal GOP fight to stop Donald Trump seems to be doomed to fail.

It’s Super Tuesday, and both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are likely to go a long way toward securing the nominations of their respective parties.

More likely than not, South Carolina marks the end of the road for Jeb Bush’s bid for the Presidency.

Rick Perry is endorsing Ted Cruz for President, leading to the question of why Ted Cruz thinks an endorsement from Rick Perry has any value whatsoever.

With almost no sign that he’ll be able to turn his campaign around, many of Jeb Bush’s top campaign donors are looking to jump ship to other candidates.

Marco Rubio has been getting a lot of love lately from both conservatives and so-called ‘establishment’ Republicans, but his seemingly meager ground game in early states is raising doubts about his campaign.

Polls are quite useful in the right circumstances, but knowledge, complexity, and timing all have to be taken into account in determining what they are telling us.

Different criteria than in the past, but there may not be much of a change in the participants.

Candidates who have been excluded from tomorrow’s Fox Business Network are complaining, but their complaints ignore the fact that polling is the best objective criteria we have to determine debate eligibility.

Another day, another poll.

Several recent nominees were flailing at this point in those cycles.

Once the Republican frontrunner, Jeb Bush is now floundering and dealing with donors worried that they may be backing the wrong horse.

A pair of new polls confirms that Republican hopes that Donald Trump would fade are failing to come true.

Paul Ryan is getting pressure from all sides to get into the race for Speaker Of The House.