Webb – Allen Rematch in 2012?
PPP’s Tom Jensen reports that “Virginia Republicans want Allen.”
Virginia Republicans overwhelmingly want George Allen to be their candidate for the Senate in 2012. 46% say he’d be their pick with the second (and unlikely) choice of Eric Cantor falling all the way back at 18%. 16% would like Ken Cuccinelli and then there’s very little support for the remaining options given- 4% for Bill Bolling and Tom Davis and only 2% for Bob Marshall.
The desire for Allen to be the nominee spans the ideological divisions of Virginia Republicans. Conservatives want him by a 47-18 margin over Cantor and moderates do as well by a 43-20 spread. Allen performed the best of the Republicans tested against Jim Webb and Tim Kaine in polling we released yesterday so this appears to be one case where the candidate the GOP base wants the most is also their most electable possibility.
Another way of reading these results: Virginian Republicans have heard of George Allen and not Eric Cantor, Ken Cuccinelli, Bill Bolling, Tom Davis, or Bob Marshall.
- Cantor is a prominent member of the House Republican leadership. But hardly a household name.
- Cuccinelli, who was an obscure state senator before being elected as Attorney General last November, is best known for filing a lawsuit against ObamaCare’s individual mandate.
- Bolling is in his second term as lieutenant governor. Despite my having lived in Virginia the whole time, I couldn’t pick him out of a lineup, much less tell you anything he’s done.
- I only know Davis because he was my Congressman until his retirement four years ago.
- And Marshall is a longtime member of the House of Delegates who singular achievement, apparently, is that he owns over 2000 books.
While there’s plenty of time for Cuccinelli or Bolling to establish name recognition if they want it, I’d say Allen is the odds-on favorite to win the nomination. He’s well liked, macacca flap and penchant for Confederate paraphernalia notwithstanding.
The more interesting question is whether Jim Webb actually wants to run for another term. He’s something of a loose cannon and doesn’t play very well with others. Being one of a hundred senators may not suit him well.