Will Republicans Filibuster The Kagan Nomination ? It Depends What You Mean By “Filibuster”

The Senate Minority leader says that a filibuster of Elena Kagan’s nomination is still an option:

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) Sunday left open the possibility of a Republican filibuster of Supreme Court nominee Elena Kagan.

“We haven’t started the hearings yet,” he said when asked on “Fox News Sunday” about the possibility of a filibuster. “I think some of her views are quite troubling.”

This contradicts a comment that Senator John Kyl made back in May when he said that a filibuster would not be appropriate.

McConnell’s assertion also goes against the math in the Senate that we know about so far. Senators Olympia Snow and Scott Brown have already spoken very positively about Kagan and seem unlikely candidates for a “no” vote on a cloture motion. The same can be said of Senators like Susan Collins, George Voinovich, and Lindsay Graham, all of whom voted in favor of Sonia Sotomayor’s nomination to the Supreme Court last year.

So, there will be a cloture vote on the nomination, it will succeed, and that will be that.

McConnell’s real intention in making this statement, though, has nothing to do with blocking the Kagan nomination:

McConnell went on to point out that President Barack Obama and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) have filibustered Supreme Court nominees, while he never has.

What McConnell is referring to there is the fact that Obama and Reid both voted “no” on the motion to invoke cloture on Justice Alito’s nomination. That motion passed 75-25 and Justice Alito went on to be confirmed. So, it’s really only accurate to say that Reid and Obama voted against cloture, there was no filibuster.

That’s what McConnell is really talking about. Republicans will vote against cloture on Kagan, but not enough of them for the motion to actually succeed, and that will enable them to say that they tried to filibuster the nomination to the Social Conservative groups who have started coming out against the nomination.

Thanks to rules changes, the modern filibuster is nothing like what was depicted in Mr. Smith Goes To Washington, in this case McConnell’s definition of “filibuster” is even less substantive. Anyone who reads McConnell’s comments and thinks that he actually believes they have a chance of stopping the nomination is fooling themselves.

FILED UNDER: Doug Mataconis, Law and the Courts, US Politics, ,
Doug Mataconis
About Doug Mataconis
Doug holds a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May 2010. Before joining OTB, he wrote at Below The BeltwayThe Liberty Papers, and United Liberty Follow Doug on Twitter | Facebook

Comments

  1. Zelsdorf Ragshaft III says:

    Here is why you could be wrong counselor. Sonia is a jurist, Kagan is not. New information recently released indicates Kagan did not tell the truth about her position concerning military recruitment at Harvard. She gave legal advise to Clinton which will show she should not be seated
    on the highest court in the land. Doug, how many times do you get to be on the wrong side of things here before they ask you to give up your kepboard?




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  2. Vast Variety says:

    It’s kind of like the Star Trek episode “Taste of Armageddon”. They have automated and dumbed down the filibuster process to the point where it’s virtually meaningless and it’s use in every vote almost a guaranteed event.




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  3. You want to make a bet about that ?

    I say Kagan gets confirmed and that the final roll call is 56-44.




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  4. Vast,

    As a political junkie I would welcome a good old-fashioned Mr. Smith Goes To Washington style filibuster. Senators are too lazy for stuff like that anymore




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  5. Dave Schuler says:

    Senators are too lazy for stuff like that anymore

    Not to mention too old. 27 members of the Senate are 70 or more.




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  6. Dave,

    Good point.

    I’m reminded of an episode of The West Wing where a 70-something Senator conducted a 14 hour filibuster on his own.

    Yea, sure I could see Robert Byrd doing that. Not




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  7. @Vast Variety: I like that analogy.




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