2012 Congressional Election Predictions

OTB bloggers give their best guesses on the House and Senate races.

Interpretation, Art, and Analysis

The analyst actually wants to understand and be correct far more than he or she wants their preferences to prevail in the analysis

If Obama Wins (Even If He Doesn’t), The Campaign For 2016 Will Begin Soon

It’s just a few days until the 2012 campaign ends, and the jostling for position for 2016 begins.

Paths To Victory

2012 Presidential Election Predictions

The OTB gang give their best guess at the outcome of the 2012 presidential contest.

Alabama Utility Crews Turned Away From Sandy Relief: Not Union [UPDATE: Not Exactly]

Utility crews from Alabama traveled to New Jersey to help get the power back on. They were turned away on account of not being unionized.

Modest Growth In Jobs Report Makes Its Election Impact Unclear

A mostly positive, but mixed, jobs report drops five days before Election Day

New York Marathon Diverts Scarce Resources After Sandy

Mayor Bloomberg has decided to hold the New York Marathon Sunday even though millions are still without power and the city infrastructure is unable to cope with normal activity.

OTB Caption Contest Winners

The Survivor – Ohio Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Preparing to Evaluate the Predictions

Making note of some of the predictions and such as we approach November 6th.

Math, Damned Math, and Statistics

How Obama can have a 75 percent chance of winning an election despite being essentially tied in the polls:

OTB Caption Contest

Time for the Thursday OTB Caption ContestTM