Howard Fineman details nine reasons why Bush is now an odds-on favorite for re-election. The edited version:
I have never seen a president more popular with his own party base.
Because of population and geographical changes, Bush picks up a net seven Electoral College votes in a re-run of 2000
Dean has some 550,000 names on its email list. “BC04” has 10 million.
Presidents tend to win re-election in war time.
If you’re an incumbent, you have a better than 2-1 chance of winning re-election.
[We got] Saddam.
Howard Dean or not, the Democrats, for the most part, are simply cratering in the South.
The war in Iraq has only begun to divide the Democrats. It will divide them further the closer they get to the general election.