Trump Likely to be Favored in 2020

The campaign-agnostic political science models predicted a toss-up in 2016 and again in 2020.

Kevin Williamson and the Limits of Polite Discourse

The Atlantic fired one of their few conservative voices for saying women who have abortions should be hanged. Was this beyond the pale?

Confirmation Bias, Hidden Agendas, and the Challenges of Conversation

A blog post and resulting Twitter exchange point to a larger problem in our political dialog.

An Analogy on Hierarchy (and the Lack thereof) in Party Behavior

An attempt to explain the consequences of institutional design.

The Roy Moore Case and the Nature of US Political Parties

The Moore situation illustrates the nonhierarchical nature of US parties. This is nothing new.

Representative Government and Line Drawing

A complicated concurrence to Steven Taylor’s recent postings.

Is Centrism A Viable Political Strategy? It Sure Doesn’t Look Like It

The ‘No Labels’ movement is back, and it’s as irrelevant to contemporary politics as ever.

The Incoherent Nature of Nancy MacLean’s Narrative

A Duke history professor uncovers “stealth plan” by “fifth columnists” who are seeking to overthrow democracy in the U.S. for their plutocrat masters.

Kushner’s Newest Mission

He is supposed to help make the government run more like a business.

A Remarkable Legislative Debacle

This was one for the history books.

More on Megaprojects

Megaprojects are not a partisan thing. Megaprojects are large projects typically costing more than $1 billion and often tens of billions of dollars and impacting the lives of tens of thousands of people if not millions.

The New Trump Tax

Yet more incoherent economic policy from the Tweeter in Chief. A border tax will mean that Americans will undoubtedly pay for at least part of the Great Wall of Trump™.

A “Republic v. Democracy” Lexicon

Concepts, basic applications, and even a bibliography! Merry Festivus, everyone.

Term Limits Only A Partial Solution To The Problems Plaguing Congress

Congressional term limits are a good idea, but they are only a partial solution at best and may not be the best solution to the problems facing our political system.

Gratitude for the Art of Losing Graciously

Democracy produces good rulers, right?  Sometimes.  What good democracies actually produce best is good losers. Let us then be grateful for gracious losers, for our losers no less than our winners carry forward the American experiment in self-rule.  

No, The Democratic Party Is Not ‘Decimated’

Reports of the demise of the Democratic Party have been greatly exaggerated.

Bill Maher’s Mea Culpa

With Donald Trump on the ballot, Bill Maher regrets some past words. He shouldn’t be the only one.

Is Nuance Still Possible in American Politics?

Damon Linker writes, “Millions of people disagree with your political views. That doesn’t make them moral monsters.”

This Election May Not be as Weird as we Think

Political Science research suggests that the election is, in basic ways, about what we would expect.

Trump’s Dangerous ‘Rigged Election’ Nonsense

The Republican nominee is threatening our fragile democracy.

Trump was Right

Libertarians Are to Blame for Donald Trump’s Racialized Rhetoric?

The idea that Donald Trump has gotten his racialized rhetoric from libertarians is simply errant nonsense. The libertarian view, broadly speaking, is not defined by Murray Rothbard, Llewellyn Rockwell, and Ron Paul and those who share their views. This is but a small and even fringe group of what could be called the libertarian community.

A Lesson In Polling

One result from the new NBC News poll shows us how important it is to pay attention to how poll questions are phrased.

Why Didn’t The Brexit Vote Require A Supermajority For ‘Leave’ To Win?

Given the consequences of a Brexit, one wonders why the referendum didn’t require more than just a simple majority to pass.

Gary Johnson, Bill Weld, and the ‘Libertarian Party’

With two former Republican governors running under its banner, is there such a thing as a “Libertarian Party”?

Regulatory Capture and the Revolving Door

Top officials of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau have taken jobs in the industry they were regulating.

Democracy, Demagogues, and Populist Pandering

The rise of Trump and Sanders has resurrected a debate as old as Western civilization.

Bernie Sanders Exposed?

How much command of detail should we demand of presidential candidates?

Primary Turnout does not Predict November Outcomes

Primary turnout is not predictive of general election outcomes.

The Revolt Against Politics

David Brooks has articulated a frustration many of us share.

Another Chaotic Nevada Caucus Helps Make The Case For Eliminating Caucuses Altogether

This year’s Nevada Caucuses are a good argument for why there should not be any more caucuses.

Iowa 2016 Provides Yet More Evidence For The Argument Against Caucuses

Reports of discrepancies in the counting of ballots in the Democratic Caucus in Iowa reveal yet again why the caucus process is outdated and ought to be abandoned.

Are Polls Overstating Donald Trump’s Real Level Of Support, Or Understating It?

There have been many arguments that polling has over-stated Donald Trump’s actual level of support among likely Republican voters, but there’s also a good argument that they are understating it and that Trump may do better when people start voting than many think.

It’s Apparently Time To Discuss The Brokered Convention Fantasy Again

The quadrennial fantasy of a brokered convention, which American politics has not seen since 1952, is rearing its head again, and it’s no more likely now than it was when we talked about this four years ago.

Republican Primary Rules Favor Centrists

Why Republicans nominate moderates for president and not other offices.

Tuesday’s Elections Helped Solidify Republican Control Of America’s State Legislatures

Forget about Congress, the real story going forward is likely to be Republican dominance of state legislatures nationwide.

Both Sides Do It: Voter Suppression Edition

Today, many states and municipalities are having elections that will mostly attract Democrats.

Of Course the Pope is Political

When did “politics” become a dirty word?

An Important Reminder about Polling

We are still a ways from actual voting–this needs to be remembered.

The 2016 Campaign Probably Doesn’t Matter, Except That it Does

While “fundamentals” will have more impact on choosing our next president than what happens on the campaign trail, the race itself is important.

Political Experts Who Don’t Understand Politics

49 “experts in governance and democracy” to call for nonsensical reforms to the presidential debates.

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