Some Luke Warm Takes On NY3

Yes, every special election is a very special snowflake, but trends do emerge

Does Taking The High Road Make Political Sense?

What’s more important, appearances or action?

On Polling and Media Narratives

Some thoughts on polling and the news since 2016.

George Santos’ Questionable Campaign Accounting

Could it be that he was untruthful?

NY Congressman-Elect George Santos (AP Photo/John Locher) NY Congressman-Elect George Santos (AP Photo/John Locher)

Follow Up On Yesterday’s Santos Column

Why a paper got the story right and no one paid attention and polls over opposition research

Poor, Poor, Pitiful Pence

The past just won’t let him be.

NY Congressman-Elect George Santos (AP Photo/John Locher) NY Congressman-Elect George Santos (AP Photo/John Locher)

A consequence of shrinking newsrooms

How an apparent serial fabulist got elected to Congress

McCarthy’s Road to the Speakership

He is so close.

What Now for Stacey Abrams’ Model?

Her emphasis on turnout has helped other Democrats but she’s a two-time loser.

Warnock Wins and Walker Concedes

Democrats increase their Senate margin.

Minority Rule Isn’t a Myth

The will of the majority can prevail even in a skewed system.

Ticket Splitting in the 2022 Mid-Term

How much ticket-splitting was there in gubernatorial v. senatorial races this cycle?

No Room for Palin in Party She Remade?

What to make of her second straight loss?

Increased Diversity in the 118th Congress

The next Congress will look a bit more like America than did the last.

Alaska Voters Had Real Choices and Made Them

Every vote counted, with refreshing results.

Alaska Results in

MAGA loses again (twice)

House Margin Exactly Flipped

There will be 222 Republicans and 213 Democrats in the next Congress.

Herschel and Werewolves and Vampires, Oh My

Tales from the GA campaign trail.

Districting and the 2022 House Results

The lines aren’t everything, but they need more attention than they get.

Not Both Sides

One of these things is not like the other.

Hakeem Jeffries, Fox News, and the Dangers of Sloppy Rhetoric

It would be nice if politicians and cable news outlets were more responsible.

Boebert Wins

It was a squeaker, but this one is a win for the MAGAs.

Lessons from the Fetterman Victory?

This kind of “analysis” drives me nuts

Leadership Battles in the GOP

Losing has a way of creating intraparty strife.

Democrats’ Chaotic Skullduggery

There was some quiet meddling going on.

AZ Called for Democrat Hobbs

Another election denier loses.

Why Stacey Abrams Ran Behind Raphael Warnock

Discrimination? Issues? Incumbency?

What’s the Pattern for Senate Seats in Mid-Terms?

Looking at past Senate elections and some more thoughts on historical patterns.

Election Denialism did Poorly at the Polls

The “America First” slate of candidates lost all but one contest.

Democrats Keep Senate Control

With a win in Nevada, the party will retain at least 50 seats.

“We Used to Know on Election Night!”

Well, kind of, but not really.

Nevada ‘Blue Shift’ Expected to Keep Senate Democratic

Adam Laxalt’s big lead is slowly erodiing.

Democrats Need One More to Hold Senate

It boils down to NV or GA.

What’s a “Normal” First Term Seat Loss?

Looking at some historical data.

Were the Election Outcomes Truly Unexpected?

Thinking about what was likely and what wasn’t.

Making Sense of the Election

Parsing the results thus far.

Republicans Winning House Popular Vote?

A surprising factoid in a bad election for the party.

Murdoch Gunning for Trump

The New York Post and Wall Street Journal are blasting the losing loser.

How Many Johns in the Senate?

Disproportional representation!

Trump 2022’s Biggest Loser

The 2020 loser has doubled down on losing.

Weirdness in New York

The chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee lost his re-election.

Nevada Election Results Could Take ‘Days’

Republicans hold narrow leads for Governor and Senator but . . . .

Democratic Ratfucking Worked

Boosting weak candidates in the Republican primaries paid off.

Boebert in Tight Race

Colorado’s third is neck and neck.

Democrats Outperform Expectations

The Needle is Broken

Crystal Ball Final 2022 Ratings

Describe the sound made when a sheep explodes.

Midterm Chatter

Open Forum for election chatter.

Biden Getting Little Credit for Infrastructure Bill

Most don’t even know it passed!

President Joe Biden delivers remarks at a Medal of Valor ceremony, Monday, May 16, 2022, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks at a Medal of Valor ceremony, Monday, May 16, 2022, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

Press Corps Demanding Press Conference

President Biden is being pressured to face the music after the midterms.

Red Wave? Blue Wave? No Wave?

We really have no idea how Tuesday’s election will unfold.