What Went Wrong With The Polls In The British Election?

Pollsters on both sides of the Atlantic have been trying to figure out why the polls released right up until the eve of the British General Election were so wrong. Here’s one theory, and it’s very compelling.

David Cameron To Propose Broad Expansion Of Powers To Crackdown On ‘Extremism’

Fresh off an election victory, British Prime Minister David Cameron is set to propose a series of new measures to crackdown on extremism that raise serious civil liberties concerns.

The British General Election And The Future Of The United Kingdom

With the election behind him, David Cameron’s biggest problems may be yet to come.

European Commission Plan Would Require All E.U. Members To Accept Migrants

A plan to distribute migrants from the conflicts in the Middle East and North Africa across the entire European Union seems destined to cause political conflict.

Jim Messina Beats David Axelrod In British Election Battle

The just-concluded British General Election was also a clash between two former top advisers to President Obama.

Germans Restrict Cooperation With The U.S. On Intelligence

Largely in reaction to revelations about N,S.A. surveillance, Germany has cut back on its intelligence cooperation with the United States.

Denmark Terror Attacks and Machine-Gun Censorship

Yet another attack on religious freedom in Europe.

Minsk Talks Result In Ukrainian Cease Fire Agreement

A cease fire deal in Ukraine, but a long term settlement will require compromises from both Moscow and Kiev.

Terror Attack Kills 11 at French Satirical Newspaper Charlie Hebdo

At least 11 are dead and 10 wounded in an attack on free expression.

Chart of the Day

Rubles and iPhones

Russia’s Economic Problems Just Getting More Grim By The Day

For a year that started out with regaining long-lost territory in Ukraine, 2014 is not ending so well for Vladimir Putin’s Russia.

Russian Government Projects Sanctions, Declining Oil Prices, Will Lead To Recession In 2015

Russia’s own government is projecting that its economy will slip into recession next year. How that will impact Putin’s current belligerence remains to be seen.

Black Friday Hits Britain And Other Parts Of Europe

Black Friday chaos has crossed the pond.

Merkel Lashes Out Against Russia In Post G-20 Remarks

Vladimir Putin’s latest actions seems to have exhausted Germany’s patience.

Germany Promises Expanded Military Role But Its Military Isn’t Ready

Germany’s new defense minister has promised a more robust role but lacks the ability to back her words with action.

Let the Games Begin! (Institutional Reform Edition)

Now on to solving the complex puzzle of the post-referendum UK.

Today in Comparative Ballots (“Independence or not” Edition)

One of these ballots is legit. The others, not so much.

Why Did England Allow This Vote?

The thought they’d win big and silence the Scottish separatists. They were wrong.

Some Observations on the Scotland Independence Referendum

Thoughts on the Scottish referendum (and on the issue of thresholds and decision-making).

Obama’s Anti-ISIS Coalition Seems To Exist Only In His Mind

Despite the President’s assurances of an international coalition, the rest of the world doesn’t seem all that interested in joining the fight.

Denmark’s Bestiality Brothels?!

Bestiality and prostitution are legal in Denmark. And not just separately.

UK Poorer Than All US States Except Mississippi

Alabamians like to exclaim, “Thank God for Mississippi.” Perhaps it’s time for that slogan to cross the Pond.

NATO: “High Probability” Russia Will Invade Ukraine

The rebels in eastern Ukraine continue to suffer setbacks, and Russia is massing troops on the border again.

Italian Senate Reform?

Institutional reform does take place in other democracies.

Scottish Independence Referendum A Nailbiter

Scottish independence may be more likely than many think.

New Sanctions Announced Against Russia, But It’s Unclear Russia Will Care

The U.S. and Europe have announced a new round of sanctions against Russia over the Ukraine crisis, but it’s not clear that the Russians will be motivated to change course.

Russians Are Getting A Very Different Version Of The Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 Story

If you live in Russia, you’re getting a different version of the story of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17.

Russians Really, Really Like Vladimir Putin, And That Makes Ending The Ukraine Crisis Harder

Vladimir Putin has become immensely popular in Russia again, and its not hard to figure out why.

Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 And The Future Of The Conflict In Ukraine

Yesterday’s events are likely to be a game changer, but how the game plays out depends largely on how Europe reacts.

Why Were Commercial Jets Flying Over Eastern Ukraine To Begin With?

Basically, the answer is that nobody really thought there was much of a risk that a plane could be shot down.

U.S. Intelligence Sources Confirm Malaysia Airlines Flight Hit By Surface-To-Air Missile

Someone took down a Boeing 777 over Ukraine today.

Malaysia Airlines 777 Crashes In Eastern Ukraine, May Have Been Shot Down

Another incident involving a Malaysia Airlines 777, but this one could be far more serious.

There Is No Such Thing as Europe

The English-speaking and Scandinavian countries are very different.

Sending Europe Mixed Messages

My latest for The National Interest, “Europe’s Free Ride on the American-Defense Gravy Train,” has posted.