NATO: “High Probability” Russia Will Invade Ukraine

The rebels in eastern Ukraine continue to suffer setbacks, and Russia is massing troops on the border again.

Italian Senate Reform?

Institutional reform does take place in other democracies.

Scottish Independence Referendum A Nailbiter

Scottish independence may be more likely than many think.

New Sanctions Announced Against Russia, But It’s Unclear Russia Will Care

The U.S. and Europe have announced a new round of sanctions against Russia over the Ukraine crisis, but it’s not clear that the Russians will be motivated to change course.

World War One And Ukraine

History matters.

Russians Are Getting A Very Different Version Of The Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 Story

If you live in Russia, you’re getting a different version of the story of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17.

Russians Really, Really Like Vladimir Putin, And That Makes Ending The Ukraine Crisis Harder

Vladimir Putin has become immensely popular in Russia again, and its not hard to figure out why.

Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 And The Future Of The Conflict In Ukraine

Yesterday’s events are likely to be a game changer, but how the game plays out depends largely on how Europe reacts.

Why Were Commercial Jets Flying Over Eastern Ukraine To Begin With?

Basically, the answer is that nobody really thought there was much of a risk that a plane could be shot down.

U.S. Intelligence Sources Confirm Malaysia Airlines Flight Hit By Surface-To-Air Missile

Someone took down a Boeing 777 over Ukraine today.

Malaysia Airlines 777 Crashes In Eastern Ukraine, May Have Been Shot Down

Another incident involving a Malaysia Airlines 777, but this one could be far more serious.

There Is No Such Thing as Europe

The English-speaking and Scandinavian countries are very different.

Sending Europe Mixed Messages

My latest for The National Interest, “Europe’s Free Ride on the American-Defense Gravy Train,” has posted.

Implementation Of Europe’s ‘Right To Be Forgotten’ About As Absurd As You’d Expect

Judging by the early results, the so-called “Right To Be Forgotten” recently created by Europe’s highest court is creating more problems than it will solve.

Yes, We Spy On Germany. Big Deal.

There’s a new round of allegations about American spying on Germany.

Institutional Design and Governance

A piece at Foreign Policy provides a chance to give some thought to institutions.

Barriers to US-Europe Trade Deal Remain

A US-EU free trade zone is a no-brainer. But the devil is in the details.

Sarajevo and Europe, 100 Years Later

A century later, the shots fired in Sarajevo 100 years ago still echo.

Is The Next Crimea In Northern Kazakhstan?

While the world watches Ukraine, Central Asia could also be an area where Russia may seek to expand its territory.

What Next For Ukraine?

They’ve got a new President, but there’s still much to do.

Is Europe Turning Right?

Parties described as “far right” or “extreme right” have done very well in Europe’s most recent elections.

Acquiring Crimea Vastly Increased Russia’s Potential Oil & Gas Reserves

Not surprisingly, Russia’s acquisition of Crimea comes with quite a potential bonanza in natural resources.

New Russian Law Requires Bloggers To Register With The Kremlin

Vladimir Putin wants to put the Internet genie back in the bottle.

Where Is Transnistria?

The future may hold a lot of vehement arguing over insignificant bits of territory.

Crimeans Endorse Secession, Union With Russia. What’s Next?

As everyone anticipated, the Crimean referendum came out in favor of secession from Ukraine and union with Russia. What happens next is another question entirely.