Clinton and the African-American Vote

Like I was saying

84% of black voters went for Clinton and 16% went for Sanders (CNN exit poll).

In other words, despite the Cable News Horserace Hoopla,TM the Democratic side of the equation is going as expected, and will be, as I predicted before New Hampshire over this week:  ”I remain convinced that by the morning of March 2nd, it will be pretty clear that Hillary is going to be the nominee.”

The GOP side, however, I clearly was wrong about and Trump is almost certainly going to be nominee (unless we get a really weird Super Tuesday).  More on that later, no doubt (I am waiting until at least after Super Tuesday, if not mid-March, to write a long post on that topic).

 

FILED UNDER: Campaign 2016, Quick Takes, US Politics
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is Professor of Political Science and Dean of the College of Arts and Sciences at Troy University. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter

Comments

  1. MBungte says:

    South Carolina turnout for the Dems was down 30% from 2008 and African-Americans as a percentage of that vote, based on exit-polls, was only up from 55 to 61%, which means their turnout was down but not as much as whites.

    People who dismiss Trump’s chance need to understand that no matter how much Latino turnout might surge, if black, youth and liberal white turnout dips and Trump cuts into the traditional big edge Democrats have with voters who make less than $50,000, his path to the White House is entirely within the realm of the possible.

    Mike