Early Exit Polls for Virginia and Tennessee

The Corner has ’em:

TN
Kerry 46
Edwards 28
Clark 15
Dean 7

VA
Kerry 48
Edwards 25
Clark 11
Dean 8

If these results hold, Kerry will be the nominee, absent a tragedy or some amazing scandal. I’m not surprised that Kerry is winning, since Edwards and Clark are splitting the Southern-moderate vote. But Kerry is beating their combined totals even with Dean draining some of his support. I didn’t expect that.

Via The Command Post

FILED UNDER: Campaign 2004
James Joyner
About James Joyner
James Joyner is Professor and Department Head of Security Studies at Marine Corps University's Command and Staff College and a nonresident senior fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer and Desert Storm vet. Views expressed here are his own. Follow James on Twitter @DrJJoyner.

Comments

  1. McGehee says:

    I’m not surprised that Kerry is winning, since Edwards and Clark are splitting the Southern-moderate vote. But Kerry is beating their combined totals even with Dean draining some of his support. I didn’t expect that.

    Well, for one thing, Edwards has been given way too much credibility WRT the Southern vote. I said a long time ago, fat cat ambulance chasers are not among Southerners’ favorite people.

    If Clark hadn’t dissolved in the couple of weeks before the NH primary I would have expected him to be winning these primaries, not Edwards. As it is, Kerry’s as logical as anyone, since he’s the “presumptive nominee.”