Electability and 2008

Steve Benen tells us that early polls are meaningless but that uses them to demonstrate that “the Dems’ top-tier is plenty competitive and can absolutely win a national race.”

While noting the humor in the contradiction, I would agree on both counts.

The Republicans’ prospects will be tied, to some degree at least, with the Bush administration and Iraq. If they nominate a consensus builder, whether Rudy Giuliani or someone else, I still think they have a better-than-average chance of beating a Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama. My guess is that John Edwards would be the strongest of their frontrunners but it is indeed way too early to gauge.

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James Joyner
About James Joyner
James Joyner is Professor and Department Head of Security Studies at Marine Corps University's Command and Staff College and a nonresident senior fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer and Desert Storm vet. Views expressed here are his own. Follow James on Twitter @DrJJoyner.


  1. Anderson says:

    Someone needs to explain the Edwards thing to me, because I am quite obviously not getting it.

    The guy’s a one-term senator who used to be a trial lawyer and whose primary association in the public’s mind is with John Kerry.

    I continue to think he is chiefly a construct of “internet Dems” and perhaps the screwy Iowa process. But I would be happy to be shown otherwise.