Electoral College: Two Weeks Out
Stephen Green runs his periodic Electoral College wargame and has some bittersweet news for Republicans: “McCain is more competitive than he was last week — but only enough to turn a blow-out into a drubbing.”
To put this in sporting terms, McCain is down three scores at the two minute warning.
As with a football game, the final score could change radically in the closing minutes. McCain will be throwing the political equivalent of Hail Mary passes, going no huddle, doing onside kicks, and otherwise doing things that could either help him narrow the gap.
One of two things typically happens: The trailing team winds up losing by a narrower margin because the opponent went into a prevent defense, willing to concede yards for time, or the blowout turns into a rout because the trailing team throws interceptions.
A third thing very seldom happens, of course: a miraculous comeback. That tends to happen, though, because the better team finally started clicking on all cylinders and got some breaks. That’s unlikely here; the Democrats were heavily favored going into the contest and playing before the home crowd.