Gingrich Losing Ground Nationally

Via CNN:  CNN Poll: Gingrich lead gone, dead even with Romney

Newt Gingrich’s lead in the race for the GOP presidential nomination has evaporated, according to a new national survey.

A CNN/ORC International Poll released Monday indicates that 28% of Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP say the former House speaker is their choice for their party’s nominee, with an equal amount supporting former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. In CNN’s previous national poll, conducted last month, Gingrich held a 24%-20% margin over Romney.

This has been one wild process to date, with the continued surges and declines of the Not Romneys.  Things seem to  be shaping up for Ron Paul to have a turn as the Not Romeny, in fact.

The rest of the pack for now:

According to the new CNN survey, Rep. Ron Paul of Texas is in third place at 14%. That’s a five point rise for Paul since last month’s poll. The survey indicates Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota at 8%, Texas Gov. Rick Perry at 7%, former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania at 4%, former Utah Gov. and former ambassador to China Jon Huntsman at 2%, and nine percent undecided.

At this point, the only choices for Not Romney (assuming Newt continues to fade) are Paul, Huntsman, and Santorum.  And given that voting in IA is less than a month away, time is running out for too many more Not Romney’s.

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Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter


  1. legion says:

    A small part of my psyche is curious – is Newt realizing that being a bomb-throwing back-bencher is a lot more fun & less responsibility (and potentially better-paying) than being President, driving him to sabotage his own chances? Or is the image of an unlikable, arrogant, blowhard that isn’t a fraction as smart as he thinks he is the actual truth of Gingrich’s character, and people are just now beginning to see that?

    Of course, there’s no reason it can’t be both…

  2. John P says:

    Let’s face it, this is Romney’s nomination. We can get all caught up pretending that we love smart guy (Gingrich), the rebel/purist (Paul), or the honest outsider (Huntsman) but in the end we’ll all blink and vote Romney. Being a contrarian is makes you sound really cool in passing and makes for good infotainment but it doesn’t make for a good night’s sleep.

  3. Hey Norm says:

    @ SLT….
    I think you are right…Ron Paul’s turn to be the Not-Mitt.
    But I can’t help wondering down Nostalgia Lane…remember Newt telling Jake Tapper:

    “…I’m going to be the nominee. It’s very hard not to look at the recent polls and think that the odds are very high I’m going to be the nominee…”

    And finally, today, Erick Erickson admits to himself what a good deal of us already know:

    “…The Republican Party has gone insane…”

  4. Fiona says:


    I don’t think Newt has the self-awareness to realize it’s more profitable to sit on the sidelines and throw bombs. Between his outrageous ego and his uncontrolled narcissism, my guess is that he had the nomination in the bag. I hope to see the pompous douche bag go up in flames.

  5. anjin-san says:

    Maybe the Newtster will stick around. It was fun watching Obama crush Trump, a sequel starring Gingrich would be pretty entertaining.

  6. Tsar Nicholas says:

    The problem with Paul as the not-Romney is that Paul’s supporters largely consist of young students and material percentages of them won’t actually show up to vote. Ergo it’s looking more and more as though Romney will be the nominee.