GW Battleground Poll: Bush 49, Kerry 47

Bush up by 4 in the Battleground Poll

Among likely voters, 49 per cent would pick Mr Bush and 45 per cent Mr Kerry, according to the George Washington University Battleground 2004 Poll conducted from September 12-16 and released on Tuesday.

This is very much in line with the RealClear Politics average of all the polls:

3-Way Bush 48.5, Kerry 42.8, Nader 1.8
Head-to-Head Bush 49.2, Kerry 43.5

I continue to believe their method–simply averaging the major polls–is the most likely to capture the national race. Of course, this isn’t a national election but rather 50 state elections plus a 3 Democrat electors from DC.

FILED UNDER: General
James Joyner
About James Joyner
James Joyner is Professor and Department Head of Security Studies at Marine Corps University's Command and Staff College and a nonresident senior fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer and Desert Storm vet. Views expressed here are his own. Follow James on Twitter @DrJJoyner.