Israel, Hezbollah, and 4th Generation Warfare
I’m a couple days late to the party but John Robb nails the strategic situation Israel faces in Lebanon:
Israel’s only chance to reverse this situation and win (which will be at most a limited victory, given previous blunders) in this war is to fully embrace the light infantry approach and fight this at close quarters. This means sending the tanks back to the sheds, slowing down the air campaign (limiting it to counter-battery fire), and reducing the infantry’s dependence of tactical firepower support. Further, all efforts that destabilize the Lebanese state should be reversed. Of course, this will mean higher casualties for Israel and Hezbollah may get resupplied, but it will provide a path to more battlefield success which will mitigate some of the strategic consequences of abject failure.
I understand why Israel didn’t choose that path, given the pressures of democracy and the media age. But it was obvious to most of us from literally Day 1 that trying to fight terrorists entrenched among a civilian population with heavy bombing was doomed to fail.