Lamont Closing Gap with Lieberman?
Underdog Ned Lamont is running neck-and-neck with Joe Lieberman in the latest Rasmussen poll.
Senator Joe Lieberman (D) might be better off skipping the Democratic Primary and running as an Independent this November. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey of the Primary Election shows Lieberman leading challenger Ned Lamont by just six percentage points, 46% to 40%. The survey was conducted Monday night, June 12.
These results should be viewed as a clear sign that Lamont is gaining traction. Our last survey found Lamont at the 31% level of support (that itself was a stunning figure at the time).
Still, some caution is in order. The sample is very small (218) meaning the margin of sampling error is very large (nearly 7 percentage points). Additionally, determining Likely Voters for a Primary is one of the most challenging tasks in the polling business. It is worth noting that the most likely of our Likely Voters were a bit more inclined to support Lamont than the overall sample.
In the General Election, Lieberman wins handily as either a Democrat or an Independent.
Indeed, if there is a 7 point MOE, this is a DEAD HEAT; conceivably, Lamont is actually ahead given a 6 point gap and a 7 point spread. Until I see a trend in other polls, though, I’m highly dubious of this result.
In any case, Lieberman may well be better off running as an independent. He’s already viewed that way by most people and he would look like a sore loser running as an independent after losing in a Democratic primary.