Latest Cook Forecast

The latest from Charlie Cook

House:  GOP gains from 32-42 (39 is magic number for a bare majority).

Senate:  5 to 7 (8 is the current magic number, as they would need 51 seats to control the chamber, as 50 would give the tiebreaker to the Vice President).

As such, total control of the Congress by the Republicans is highly unlikely.

FILED UNDER: Campaign 2010, Congress, Quick Takes, US Politics
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter

Comments

  1. You know what would be funny………if the GOP picked up 7 Senate seats and then Lieberman decided to caucus with the GOP

    Unlikely, I know, but still……..

  2. sam says:

    “You know what would be funny………if the GOP picked up 7 Senate seats and then Lieberman decided to caucus with the GOP”

    Or Charlie Crist wins and decides to caucus with the Democrats….

  3. If Crist wins he WILL caucus with the Democrats, if they’re in the majority

    If the GOP is in the majority, he’ll cozy up to them.

    Bascially, Charile Crist will do whatever is in the best interests of Charlie Crist

  4. Tano says:

    I remember Charlie Cook saying, months ago, that “the House is lost” for the Dems.

    Now his range seems to indicate that its more likely the Dems will keep the House? I don’t subscribe, so I can’t read his complete rationale here. Does he see a shift toward the Dems, or does he just weasel out of his earlier predictions?

    Personally, I am finding it hard to see the Senate losses being more than 2-3, without going way down the pessimism road.