Lieberman Holds Double Digit Lead

“Independent” Joe Lieberman holds a twelve point lead over Democrat Ned Lamont in the latest Quinnipiac poll, Taegan Goddard reports, thanks to support of 3/4 of Republicans.

In Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race, a new Quinnipiac poll finds Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I) leading Ned Lamont (D) among likely voters, 53% to 41%, with Alan Schlesinger (R) getting 4%. Lieberman leads 75%-13%-10% among likely Republican voters, and 58%-36%-3% among likely independent voters, while likely Democratic voters back Lamont 63%-35%. Just 2% are undecided, but 28% of those who name a candidate might change their mind before Election Day.

Says pollster Douglas Schwartz: “Sen. Lieberman’s support among Republicans is nothing short of amazing. It more than offsets what he has lost among Democrats. As long as Lieberman maintains this kind of support among Republicans, while holding onto a significant number of Democratic votes, the veteran Senator will be hard to beat.”

Astounding indeed, especially considering that Lieberman was up only 4 points in the same poll last week.

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James Joyner
About James Joyner
James Joyner is Professor and Department Head of Security Studies at Marine Corps University's Command and Staff College. He's a former Army officer and Desert Storm veteran. Views expressed here are his own. Follow James on Twitter @DrJJoyner.


  1. Mark says:

    Nedrenaline appears to be like caffeine – it gives one only a temporary boost, and then you fall back into your afternoon slumber. Heh.

  2. deb says:

    looking for a pissant named greggy boy tinti. that mofo still here?

  3. Bandit says:

    What a downer when the same losers who support realize that they’re still losers.

  4. Given the 28% still at play, this can be a blow out for Lieberman, swing the other direction for Lamont or turn into a squeaker.

    Even so, I think this sort of epitomizes the democrats problem.

    They are split by a little less than 2 to 1. In the primary it was even closer, but the change reflects people who put party over individuals (and those people exist in both parties).

    The independents go the other direction by about 3 to 2. And the republicans go the other direction by about 6 to 1. Given that this race is primarily turning into a referendum about the war on terror, what does this portend for 2008? A strong anti-war candidate could take the democratic primaries, but then would flounder in the national election. But not being a strong anti-war candidate is likely to not allow you past the primary hurdle. And CT is a pretty liberal state. They were 12.8% less republican than the national average in 2004 (which puts them in the 44 out of 50 spot for tilting to the left).

    There is a lot of time between now and November, a lot can happen. But this ought to give pause to even the harshest anti-war critics in the party.

    Of course, please follow Kos’s advice. It got you Lamont and if you keep pushing it, you might just be able to push Lieberman out of the party.

  5. Rob Autry says:

    Only 2% undecided and we’re still in August? Only 3% of Independents are undecided (and we’re still in August)? This seems an awfully low percentage of non-committed voters for a race that has only been official for a week.

  6. Steven Plunk says:

    Was that the famous Deb Frisch looking for Greg Tinti?

    He’s back at his own site now being missed by many of us.

    I see you’re still a polite person.

  7. Michael says:

    Does anyone have the talking points for the 3 campaigns? I’d really be interested in what Schlesinger’s campaign is doing, going after Lamont or going after Lieberman. I’d also be curious to know if any pro-Lamont PACs are running “Liberal Lieberman” ads to drive Republicans back to their own candidate.

    Again, we’re not hearing much out of this race since the primary (except poll numbers). James, if you have anything, please post for us.

  8. I take this as a strong signal that Democratic pronouncements on taking back Congress are a pipe dream. What we are seeing now provides empirical statistics on just how out of touch the activists of the Democrat Party are with most of America. Once you move beyond the DNC’s true believers in the primary, things look a lot different than they appear at a Ned Lamont victory celebration.

    Time to put the Kool-Aid down and step away from the echo chamber.