McCain Trails Obama Among Iowa Republicans

The University of Iowa surveyed the state’s registered Republicans in anticipation of Friday’s straw poll. Among their findings:

McCain’s support has collapsed in Iowa. His support among registered Republicans dropped from 14.4 percent in March to 1.8 percent in July-August. UI political scientists note that McCain has been passed in popularity not only by former Sen. Fred Thompson, R-Tenn., who earned 5.2 percent support, but also by a Democratic challenger, Obama, who is supported by 6.7 percent of Republicans. [emphasis mine]

Like Steve Benen, I find this astounding.

Granted, McCain has declined to campaign in Iowa thus far and other questions in the survey show he is being, as the poll’s director notes, “punished” for that decision. Still, there’s no way for McCain’s team to spin this as good news.

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James Joyner
About James Joyner
James Joyner is Professor and Department Head of Security Studies at Marine Corps University's Command and Staff College and a nonresident senior fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer and Desert Storm vet. Views expressed here are his own. Follow James on Twitter @DrJJoyner.


  1. se7en says:

    Your RSS Feed shows more than what’s written above. I can’t but help notice this line:
    “Clearly, Romney is putting a lot of energy into a seemingly meaningless content and his two most serious rivals are not.”

    Again, with your Romney bias…

    It’s meaningless? Right, right… The early primary states really have no impact on the primary.

  2. James Joyner says:

    Your RSS Feed shows more than what’s written above

    I decided I was duplicating too much of what Benen had written by analyzing the other results.

    Again, with your Romney bias…

    It’s an opinion site . . . .

    It’s meaningless? Right, right… The early primary states really have no impact on the primary.

    The Iowa Caucuses (currently scheduled for January) aren’t meaningless but the Iowa Straw Poll (coming this week!) is.

    Giuliani, McCain snub Iowa straw poll

    Several longshot GOP candidates are hoping to score a breakthrough by doing well in the straw poll — among them, former Wisconsin Gov. Tommy Thompson, Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Colorado Rep. Tom Tancredo.

    Dennis Goldford, a professor of politics at Drake University in Des Moines, said Giuliani’s snub of the Ames contest made sense. “Even Republicans, when they’re honest, will say this is just a farce, because the campaigns spend a ton of money not just on the tents and the food but on buses to get their supporters there,” he said.

  3. yetanotherjohn says:

    Positive McCain spin:

    “The polling indicates that McCain will register no votes in the Ames poll. As such, if he registers no votes, he will have met expectations. If he registers even one vote, he will have exceeded expectations. Thus, McCain is poised to have the highest ‘exceeded expectations’ percentage of the entire GOP”

    You can always find a positive spin, just some times you have to pull really hard on the starter rope to get enough spin.