New Hampshire (and More Ron Paul)
An earlier post set off the normal reaction from Paul supporters.
For those in that thread who objected to the fact that the poll was a Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll, here’s a Gallup Poll from USAT which looks just at New Hamphire (the other poll was national in orientation) and it shows Paul with 9%. This ties him with Huckabee, who is also at 9% and statistically ties him Giuliani, who has 11%, as well as with Fred Thompson (4%) and Hunter at 1%) given the margin of error of 5% (given that Paul’s numbers could be anywhere from 14%-4% and Hunters could be as high as 6%).
NH, at the moment, has the real potential to deal serious blows to Giuliani and Thompson, and take the air out of Huckabee’s surge. McCain has the most to gain, as a solid second place finish would place him, in the media’s eyes for sure, into the top tier again. A Romney loss could also seriously damage him, as this is his region of the country.
NH is also Paul’s best chance at a double-digit showing in an early state (if not any state) given its strong libertarian strain.
If one goes to the national numbers in this poll, Paul is at 5%–a whopping two points more than the FN/OD poll.