Primary Turnout does not Predict November Outcomes
Primary turnout is not predictive of general election outcomes.
Primary turnout is not predictive of general election outcomes.
Bernie Sanders was more aggressive in last night’s debate than he has been in the past, but it’s likely too little, too late.
Nancy Reagan was a crucial part what made Ronald Reagan the man he was, and today she passed away at the age of 94.
Even as Hillary Clinton heads toward winning the Democratic nomination for President, there’s an server-sized shadow over her campaign.
As expected, Hillary Clinton won big last night while Bernie Sanders largely floundered, thus going further toward making Clinton’s victory inevitable.
Ronald Reagan famously claimed, “I didn’t leave the Democratic Party. The party left me.” I’m going through the process in reverse.
Hillary Clinton crushed Bernie Sander last night in South Carolina, pushing the race further down the path that leads to an inevitable outcome.
There’s little doubt that Hillary Clinton will win today’s South Carolina Primary, the only question is how big a win she’s likely to score.
The godfather of the Responsibility to Protect doctrine has passed.
One week before the South Carolina Primary, the remaining Republican candidates for President clashed in a headed debate.
Bernie Sanders scored a big win in New Hampshire, as most people expected, but the look ahead still tells us that Hillary Clinton will eventually be the Democratic nominee for President.
With Bernie Sanders likely to win New Hampshire tonight, Hillary Clinton is reportedly looking to reorganize her campaign.
Donald Trump continues to lead, while Marco Rubio surges, in the first polls out of New Hampshire since the Iowa Caucuses.
Hillary Clinton eked out the narrowest of wins in Iowa, but now she’s headed to New Hampshire where Bernie Sanders holds a seemingly insurmountable lead in the polls.
We’re in another Presidential election cycle so it must be time to speculate about Michael Bloomberg again.
Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders clashed in the final debate before the Iowa Caucuses in the context of a race that has appeared to become tighter than it was before Christmas.
Donald Trump is in second place, and tied, with Pope Francis, in a poll asking Americans to name the person they most admired in 2015.
We will have a two party system for the foreseeable future.
Americans don’t trust their government or each other. There’s no reason to hope it’ll get better.
Former President Clinton is set to hit the campaign trail for his wife in the New Year, and that could make things quite entertaining.
If you were looking for evidence that the race for the Democratic nomination is basically over, you need look no further than last night’s Democratic Debate.
A new study suggests that being a national leader may shorten your expected lifespan.
We still don’t know very much about Robert Dear, the man who shot and killed three people at the site of a Planned Parenthood clinic in Colorado, but that hasn’t stopped the usual suspects from politicizing the case.
Polls are quite useful in the right circumstances, but knowledge, complexity, and timing all have to be taken into account in determining what they are telling us.
Syrian refugees have quickly become political footballs in the United States in the wake of the Paris attacks, and it’s become an exceedingly shameful display of pandering and fearmongering by a group of largely Republican politicians.
Hillary Clinton’s attempt to explain her relationship with Wall Street and banking interests makes it sound like she’s channeling Rudy Giuliani.
A new poll provides further evidence that Hillary Clinton’s path to the Democratic nomination looks to be clear.
Hillary’s leading potential Republican candidates, but so is Bernie! Rand Paul does better against Hillary than other Republicans! Those are the headlines you get from head-to-head match-up polls, but it’s all largely meaningless.
Ben Carson and his supporters would have you believe that he is being subjected to unprecedented and unfair scrutiny. That assertion is completely false.
Marco Rubio is taking heat for missing a lot of Senate votes since he started running for President, but he’s not really any worse than other legislators who have run for President.
The House Committee investigating the IRS targeting scandal will consider impeaching the I.R.S. Commissioner over issues that are, at beast, only tangentially related to the scandal itself.
Republicans seem to be thinking that Hillary Clinton will be an easier General Election candidate than the evidence suggests she is likely to be.
After an eleven hour day on Capitol Hill, it was Hillary Clinton 1 House Benghazi Committee 0.
According to reports, Vice-President Biden may or may not be close to a decision about running for President, and he may or may not be running.
In addition to doing everything she needed to do last night, Hillary Clinton also destroyed whatever logic remained for a Joe Biden candidacy.
California has become the second state to provide for automatic voter registration for all eligible voters when they obtain or renew a driver’s license.
John Boehner let loose on the “false prophets” on the right yesterday, and he’s absolutely right.
To listen to many of the Republican candidates for President, it would appear that the lights have been turned out on Ronald Reagan’s shining city on a hill.
Hillary Clinton’s campaign is doing a reset in the face of declining poll numbers and bad press.
In a speech in Florida, Joe Biden spoke about his possible run for the White House, and gave a very big hint that he’s leaning toward staying out of the race.
Jeb Bush’s campaign has been in a rough patch for several weeks at least, and now he’s lost three top fundraisers.
Hillary Clinton has a bit of a public image problem, but it’s not clear if that will hurt her politically.
While new information seems to come out on a daily basis, Hillary Clinton would rather that everyone think that her private email server wasn’t really a very big deal.
The F.B.I. seems to be looking in to just how secure. Hillary Clinton’s private email server was while she was Secretary of State.
In 1992, an eccentric billionaire ran an independent campaign against a Bush and a Clinton. It could happen again.