Is 2016 a 50-50 Proposition?

Pundits and political scientists agree that, if the 2016 presidential election were today, we’d have a much better idea who would win.

ISIS Gaining Ground . . . But We’ve Stopped Their Momentum!

ISIS owns more territory than it did when the US bombing campaign began.

Should Lawmaking Be Left to Congress?

Should the Legislature take back legislating from the Executive?

Republicans Score Wins In Key Governor’s Races

The Republican wave extended even to Governor’s races that, in any other year, they should have lost.

Before We Go To War Against ISIS, We Need To Answer Some Questions

If the President is going to increase American involvement in the Middle East, he needs to address some fundamental questions first.

We’re Back!

Our server went kaput. We got a new one.

The Case Against American Action In Iraq

Iraq’s problems cannot be fixed by the United States.

Where’s The Outrage Over The Outrage?

When everything’s an outrage, is anything outrageous?

Far Right’s Rise In Europe Lays Largely In The Failures Of Mainstream Parties

Far right parties are succeeding in Europe because the mainstream parties aren’t offering an alternative.

Decline of American Social Institutions

The unequal distribution of social capital may be more important than the unequal distribution of income.

No Justice Stevens, We Don’t Need To “Fix” The Second Amendment

The Second Amendment isn’t broken, and you don’t fix things that aren’t broken.

One to watch: Alleged Voter Fraud in North Carolina

Voter ID supporters are pointing to a report from the North Carolina Board of Elections as proof of ongoing Voter Fraud. But, while long on facts, the report has yet to reach any such conclusions.

Glittering Eye Turns 10

Congratulations to Dave Schuler on a decade of blogging.

Does A GOP Win In FL-13 Mean Anything?

Does one Special Election in Florida tells us anything about nationwide trends? Probably not.

Ukraine, NATO, and the EU

The West owes Ukraine nothing.

Middle Class Shopping Less at Lousy Stores, Eating Less at Lousy Restaurants

Demand for mid-range goods and services seems to be on the decline.

Administration Creates Yet Another Partial Delay Of Obamacare Provision, Rule Of Law Suffers

Once again, the Administration has unilaterally changed the Affordable Care Act.

The Attack On Pearl Harbor Was Not A Consequence Of “American Weakness”

Thoughts on the precursors to the events of 72 years ago today.

OTB Caption Contest Winners

The Last Laugh Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Syria And The “Isolationist” Smear

Opposing interventionism and unnecessary and unwise military engagements is not isolationism.

Barack Obama: Right About Iraq, Wrong About Syria

President Obama seems to have forgotten the words of a certain Illinois State Senator back in 2002.

If We Do Attack Syria, What’s Next?

Some questions that the Administration needs to answer before attacking Syria.

Obama’s Confused Syria Strategy

Humanitarian wars have their own grammar but not their own logic.

Job Openings Up 50 Percent, Hiring Up 5 Percent

A lot of new jobs are being advertised but not many people are being hired to fill them. Peter Orszag doesn’t know why.

Bailing Out “Detroit” Didn’t Save Detroit, But It’s Not Clear Anything Can

Just as the auto industry has, painfully, had to learn to adapt to a new world, the city will as well even if that means becoming a shadow of its former self.

Bob Fletcher Dead at 101

Dave Schuler has roused himself from his boredom with the news to comment on the passing of Bob Fletcher, of whom I’d never heard. It’s a story worth hearing if you haven’t.

The Civil Cold War

The United States is as politically polarized as it was in 1865.

Media Fatigue, Syria, and Social Science

Social scientists take note: the press has gotten bored with Syria, so your data are no longer reliable.

Why Are Sales Of Desktop PC’s Slowing?

Desktop PC sales fell by nearly 14% in the first quarter, continuing an ongoing trend. There are many reasons this is happening.

Information Segregation And Political Polarization

Whether in the blogosphere or on television, people are increasingly only accessing sources of news and opinion that confirm their pre-conceived ideas.

Another Ho-Hum Jobs Report

January’s Jobs Report wasn’t much to write home about

Is It Ever Okay For The President To Lie?

Truth. Overrated?

2012 Congressional Election Predictions

OTB bloggers give their best guesses on the House and Senate races.

2012 Presidential Election Predictions

The OTB gang give their best guess at the outcome of the 2012 presidential contest.

Andrew Sullivan: If Romney Wins Virginia And Florida, It’s The Return Of The Confederacy

Equating opposition to the President with racism is absurd.

China Is Every American Politician’s Favorite Scapegoat

American politicians are using China as a scapegoat for America’s problems.

How Romney Lost The Economy As A Winning Issue

The biggest surprise of the Presidential race to date is the fact that Mitt Romney has lost the edge he once had on economic issues.

Chicago’s Very Well Paid Teachers Go On Strike, Abandoning 400,000 Students

Largely because they are resisting efforts to hold them accountable for their performance, Chicago’s teachers are leaving 400,000 students locked out of school.

Would Obama’s Re-Election End Polarization And Gridlock In Washington?

The President and his supporters say that Congressional Republicans will temper their rhetoric in a second Obama term. Don’t count on it.

General Motors Headed For Disaster Again?

Think the auto bailout was a success? Think again.

Lawyers In Space!

Chicago Alderman: No Building Permits For Chick-Fil-A

One Chicago politician is using clearly unconstitutional tactics in the political war on Chick-fil-A

You Didn’t Build That!

President Obama set off a firestorm by claiming business owners didn’t build “that.”

US Tax Rates by Quintile

The Bush tax cuts were much more progressive than you probably think.