2016 A Close, Noncompetitive Election?

Once again, only six or seven states are likely to matter.

Making A Play For Latino Voters, Clinton Backs Path To Citizenship For Illegal Immigrants

In a move that is clearly designed to have an impact in the General Election, Hillary Clinton came out in support of broad immigration reform in Nevada yesterday.

Mitt Romney to Announce 2016 Plans Today

Mitt Romney is set to make an announcement at 11 Eastern today. [UPDATE: He’s out!]

In The Wake Of Midterm Losses, Some On The Left Say Democrats Should Write Off The South

Some on the left are suggesting Democrats should write off the South for the foreseeable future, but that would be as foolish as Republicans assuming that their dominance in the region will last as long as Democratic dominance did in the century after the Civil War.

Can Hillary Expand The Electoral College Map In 2016? In An Important Sense, It Doesn’t Matter

An adviser close to Hillary Clinton is talking about expanding the Electoral College map in 2016, but even without such an expansion the GOP faces an uphill battle.

With The Midterms Done, Will Republican State Legislators Revisit Electoral College “Reforms?”

After the 2010 elections, several newly Republican state legislatures flirted with the idea of changing the way their state allocates Electoral Votes. The outcome of last weeks elections raises the possibility that this could happen again.

A (Mostly) Solid Republican South, At Least For Now

The GOP is dominant in the Southern United States, but it’s unlikely to last as long as Democratic dominance of the region did.

What to Make of the 2014 Wave Election

What happened Tuesday? And what does it tell us about 2016?

Virginia Senate Race Shockingly Too Close To Call, Likely Headed For Recount

Arguably the most surprising Senate race of 2014 was in Virginia, and it’s not over yet.

What “Third Term Curse?”

Some have argued that there is an historical bias against political parties holding on to the White House for more than two terms. As with most commonly held ideas, that simply isn’t true.

Will the GOP Ever Win Another Presidential Election?

It’s hard for a party to win four straight presidential elections. The Democrats may pull it off.

GOP Losing Cuban-American Vote Too

A new poll suggests that Republicans could be losing a constituency that is very key for them in the nation’s third most populous state.

Who will be the new House Whip?

GOP Whip Kevin McCarthy of California won the vote to replace Eric Cantor as the new GOP House Majority Leader. The question is who replaces McCarthy.

California GOP Turns Against The Tea Party

Another victory for the GOP establishment in its battle against the Tea Party.

Should We Eliminate The Vice-Presidency?

Does the office of Vice-President serve any useful purpose anymore?

A Democratic Lock On The Electoral College

The Democrats have a big advantage in the Electoral College, at least for now.

New York Becomes 11th ‘State’ To Pass National Popular Vote Law

New York has joined nine other states and the District of Columbia to vote to for an Electoral College bypass.

Time For A GOP/Tea Party Divorce? No, Time To Re-Open The ‘Big Tent’

Much like the Tea Party, David Frum wants to make the GOP tent smaller.

Christie Leads All Other Potential GOP Candidates In Match-Up Against Hillary Clinton

The one Republican currently polling anywhere close to Hillary Clinton is, unfortunately for the GOP base, Chris Christie.

Obama’s Pivot To The Economy: More Of The Same

As expected, President Obama’s latest “pivot” to the economy is less than meets the eye.

Sandra Day O’Connor: Maybe SCOTUS Should Have Stayed Out Of Bush v. Gore

Former Justice O’Connor seems to regret the fact that the Supreme Court got involved in the 2000 election. Her regrets are misplaced.

Republicans Not Giving Up On Electoral College Allocation Schemes

Republicans at the state level are still trying to cook the books in the Electoral College

Virginia Electoral College Reform Bill Fails

Virginia has decisively killed a bill that would have awarded the Commonwealth’s electoral votes to the winner of gerrymandered congressional districts rather than the statewide winner.

Allocating Electoral Votes By Congressional District Is A Bad Idea

Some proposed reforms just need to be ignored.

Obama Re-Elected!

Six weeks ago, we held a non-binding referendum asking Americans who they’d like for president. Yesterday, the real election was held.

A Map Is Worth A Thousand Votes

Democrats are approaching an “Electoral College lock.” Republicans are trying to pick it.

Pennsylvania Considers Electoral College Reform

Pennsylvania Republicans want to do the right thing for the wrong reason.

The Mandate Myth

Elections put the players in office. They don’t dictate the outcome of the game.

Barone not Learning

Barone tells some tales to make himself feel better.

The GOP Is Nearly Dead In California

Republicans used to dominate California. Now, they’re barely a factor in the state’s politics.

Unfortunately For the GOP, Democrats Have An Electoral College Advantage

The Democratic Party appears to have a lock on a substantial part of the Electoral College. That poses a problem for Republicans.

Conservative Media Bubble

If you’re a white Southerner who gets most of his information from Fox News and Rush Limbaugh, you probably don’t know a lot of people who voted for Barack Obama.

Barack Obama Re-Elected President Of The United States

There are still votes to be counted, and the Romney campaign has yet to concede, but the race is over and Barack Obama has been re-elected.

Ohio Provisional Ballots Could Leave Presidency In Doubt For Weeks

Will Ohio’s Provisional Ballot’s be 2012’s version of the Hanging Chad?

On Election Eve, The Race Is Close But Obama Has The Advantage

The 2012 Election promises to be close in the Popular Voter, but President Obama still retains an Electoral College advantage.

2012 Presidential Election Predictions

The OTB gang give their best guess at the outcome of the 2012 presidential contest.

Preparing to Evaluate the Predictions

Making note of some of the predictions and such as we approach November 6th.

Romney Running Out Of Time In Ohio And Elsewhere

Mitt Romney has ground to make up if he’s going to catch the President and there’s not much time left to do it.

Presidential Race ‘Tight’ in Meaningless National Polls [UPDATED]

A week out from the election, President Obama is a heavy favorite to win re-election. But the major press continues to pretend otherwise.

Most Random Constitutional Amendment Ever?

Congressman Steve Israel has proposed an amendment to the Constitution to award 29 bonus electoral votes to the popular vote winner.