Democrats and Meh Voters

For the first time in a long time, Presidential approval numbers and voter preferences aren’t’ aligned.

Replacing Biden in 2024?

From the Cliché File.

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Election Results Validate Everyone’s Priors

Too woke! Not woke enough!

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The Election Proved I Was Right All Along

The Pundit’s Fallacy meets opportunism.

Two Parties, Not Two Countries

We’ve just had an election, not psychoanalysis.

Women Are Not a Voting Bloc II

A quick follow-up.

Women are Not a Voting Bloc

Four highly-qualified (and two less-qualified) women ran and lost in 2020.

Super Tuesday Creates Joementum

A bad night for Bloomberg and Warren has radically reshaped the race.

South Carolina Exit Polls

Joe Biden won with every group imaginable—and some that were unimaginable.

Joe Biden Makes it a Two-Man Race

The 78-year-old is the Comeback Kid. And the only chance of preventing a Bernie Sanders nomination.

The Post-Trump GOP Will Not Go Back To ‘Normal’

Contrary to the hopes of some, getting rid of Trump isn’t going to purge the GOP of Trumpism.

Israeli Election Too Close To Call

As many expected, the initial returns from the Israeli elections are too close to call.

Democratic Candidates Leading Trump By Huge Margin Among Latino Voters

A new poll finds President Trump trailing his potential Democratic opponents by huge margins among Latino voters.

Republicans Learned Right Lesson from 2012, Went Wrong Direction

What happened to “building a lasting relationship within the African American community”?

Susan Collins Faces Political Headwinds Back Home

Susan Collins hasn’t officially announced her intentions for 2020 just yet, but she looks like she’s running for re-election. If she does, she appears to be facing some political headwinds.

Ross Perot, Presidential Spoiler, Dead at 89

The independent who upended the 1992 Presidential race has passed.

Trump Trails Most Major Democratic Candidates In Head-To-Head Polls

It’s still way too early to be predictive, but the latest head-to-head matches between the President and the top contenders for the Democratic nomination.

Netanyahu Wins Yet Another Term

Both major parties have claimed victory but it certainly looks like Likud will hang on.

The Constitution Makes A Successful Third-Party Presidential Run Unlikely

The way we elect Presidents make it unlikely that a third-party candidate like Howard Schultz could ever actually win the the Presidency.

Americans Pessimistic About Trump’s Presidency

New polling data indicates that Americans are more pessimistic about the future of the Trump Presidency. That’s not good news for him, or for Republicans.

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Donald Trump And The Incredible Disappearing Caravan

Now that the election is over, President Trump and his sycophants in the right-wing media seem to have completely forgotten about the “invading” “caravan” of Central American asylum seekers.

Women Helped Propel Democrats To Victory

Whether as candidates or as voters, Democrats can thank women for many of their victories on Tuesday.

No ‘Blue Wave’ But Democrats Retake House

The 2018 midterms were mostly about Donald Trump. The results were idiosyncratic.

Irish Voters Rescind Centuries Old Blasphemy Law

In another sign of the rapid secularization taking place in that country, Irish voters last weekend voted to rescind the nation’s centuries-old, albeit not recently enforced, law against blasphemy.

Irish Voters Overwhelmingly Vote To Repeal Ban On Abortion

Just as they did three years ago when they legalized same-sex marriage, Irish voters turned out in record numbers to repeal the nation’s ban on abortion.

Donald Trump Has A Woman Problem

Women voters are turning decidedly against Donald Trump, this could pose problems for Republican in 2018 and beyond.

Donald Trump Is Losing To A “Generic Democrat,” Which Means Exactly Nothing

A new poll shows President Trump losing to a “Generic Democrat.” This poll means nothing.

AL Exit Polls

Roy Moore’s Loss Portends New Battles In The GOP’s Civil War

Roy Moore’s loss in Alabama is bringing out into the open a civil war that has been going on for seven years now.

Doug Jones Wins In Alabama

In what amounts to an electoral perfect storm, Democratic nominee Doug Jones pulled off a win last night in the Alabama Senate Election.

Polling Continues To Show A Tight Senate Race In Alabama

With ten days to go, the Senate race in Alabama between Roy Moore and Doug Jones is close.

Republicans Face The Reality That Trump Is A Political Albatross They Can’t Get Away From

Republicans have a Donald Trump problem, and they can’t run away from it.

Ralph Northam Defeats Ed Gillespie In Virginia In Strong Democratic Rebuke Of Trump

Democrats, Republicans, and Independents came out for an an election that can only been seen as a strong rebuke to President Trump and the Republican Party.

Japanese Voters Give Shinzo Abe A Big Win In Snap Elections

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s decision to call a snap election pays off big time.

Hillary Clinton Has A Theory To Explain Why White Married Women Didn’t Vote For Her

Hillary Clinton has found another group to blame for her loss, educated white married women in suburbia.

Trump’s Job Approval Numbers Hit Another Historic Low

Just about two months into office, Donald Trump’s job approval number are worse than any newly elected President since World War II.

Trump Administration Not Rushing To Move U.S. Embassy To Jerusalem

Despite campaign promises, President Trump appears to be putting off any immediate decision on the location of the U.S. Embassy to Israel.

Donald Trump: Establishment Candidate

On Tuesday night the Establishment won and won yuge. (From new OTB contributor, Michael Bailey)

Hillary Clinton Blames Her Loss On The Director Of The F.B.I.

In a call to supporters, Hillary Clinton blames her loss on F.B.I. Director James Comey

The Biggest F- You in Human History?

Michael Moore’s pre-election analysis is looking shockingly prescient.

Bush Family Member Says Bush 41 And 43 May Vote For Clinton

Are these the faces of Clinton voters? George P. Bush thinks so.

Trump Pushing Asian American Voters Into Democratic Camp

Donald Trump appears to be pushing voters from America’s fastest growing minority group into the Democratic camp.

Latino Voters Overwhelmingly Favor Clinton Over Trump

Not surprisingly, Latino voters are heavily turned off by Donald Trump and seemingly quite eager to vote against him in the fall.

Sanders Wins West Virginia, Continues To Fall Behind In Delegate Race

Bernie Sanders won another primary last night, but he continues to fall behind in the race for delegates nonetheless.

Sanders Wins Indiana Primary, But Hillary Clinton Continues To Advance In Delegate Fight

Bernie Sanders won the Indiana Primary last night, but Hillary Clinton continues to accrue the delegates she needs to become the Democratic nominee.

Trump Sweeps Mid-Atlantic Primaries, Putting Himself One Step Closer To Victory

Another round of victories puts Donald Trump another step closer to the Republican nomination.

Clinton Wins Big In New York As Sanders Campaign Becomes Even More Quixotic

Hillary Clinton scored another big win in New York last night, putting her closer to clinching the Democratic nomination, and causing Bernie Sanders’ campaign to make even less sense.

Donald Trump Scores Big Win In New York

As expected, Donald Trump scored a huge victory in his home state last night and now appears to be back on track to win the GOP nomination.

Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Both Viewed Very Badly Outside The GOP

The two men most likely to win the Republican nomination aren’t very well liked outside the Republican Party.