Outside the Beltway

Because I really do have too many open.

A second Trump presidency got much more likely last night.

A desperate measure for a desperate problem.

Well, more than two…

A famed political forecaster doesn’t believe the polls.

Many Democrats are worried about the fallout.

Who could have seen this coming?

A pandemic hangover may be clouding American politics.

Two data points are not a trend.

Explaining the inexplicable.

Some Democrats are threatening to sit November out.

Turning 80 and being charged with a felony are equally disqualifying.

I know a fireable offense when I see it.

The popular app is influencing the opinions of its young user base.

Survey research is not without flaws. But we dismiss it at our peril.

Looking ahead to November 5, 2024

There has been a steady decline the last five years.

Back when people were kinder and man’s word was his bond.

Slavery is an inextricable part of our past, whether we want to talk about it or not.

Gallup’s annual Values and Beliefs survey has some interesting results.

Thinking about what is predictive as well as the usefulness of historical case studies.

Why have Americans lost trust in their institutions?

Gallup has him at his highest point in a year.

A 2020 blowout has long been presumed. But maybe it won’t happen.

Approval is down (again).

The Forward Party will almost certainly go nowhere.

Could Alaska point the way to a solution?

Are you going to believe this index or your own lyin’ eyes?

The Democrats have lots of problems. Salesmanship is pretty far down the list.

Very little progress has been made towards racial justice.

The apparently eminent demise of abortion rights has reignited an old debate.

The polls do not bode well for Democrats.

Links and infographics.

Being too cautious and careless are not equal sins.

And Biden approval down.

Aggregate self-identification doesn’t tell us much, but the breakdowns do.

Once again, today marks a day where folks who would never have supported Dr. King decide they should praise him

Gallup has the 2021 numbers.

The safety gap between affluent, white and poor, minority communities has grown over the last three decades.

It turns out “the economy” isn’t just one thing.

Doing nothing is still a choice, and the legitimacy crisis is here, like it or not.

The President’s approval has plummeted, largely because of factors outside his control.

Democrats and Independents are losing their enthusiasm. But some perspective is needed.

What we know about those arrested for the 6 January insurrection.

A lot of Americans think so.