The Stock Market And Elections: A Study In Correlation v. Causation

Can Wall Street predict the outcome of Presidential elections? Not really.

Another Debt Ceiling Debacle Before The Election?

We may have to deal with the debt ceiling again before the November elections.

CBO Forecast: Trillion Dollar Deficits, Slow Growth, And High Unemployment

The latest projections from Congressional Budget Office are sobering to say the least.

GDP Growth 2.8% In 4th Quarter: Not Great, Not Good, Barely Okay

Another weak GDP report that portends stagnation ahead.

State of the Union Post Mortem

The speech did exactly what it was supposed to do: kick off Obama’s re-election campaign while disguised as a call for unity.

ECB Cuts Rates

Banks Have Too Much Money!

Banks have more money than they can lend out profitably.

Targeting Nominal GDP

After years of fighting inflation, some are now urging the Fed to instead target GDP growth and jobs.

Bailing Out Underwater Mortgages

Ronald Reagan’s chief economist has a radical plan for solving the housing crisis.

Economic Crisis: What Could Government Have Done Better?

With the advantage of hindsight, it’s clear that more creative strategies were needed. But they probably couldn’t have been passed.

Buffett Rule Hard to Follow

Making sure millionaires pay more tax than their secretary isn’t as easy as it sounds.

Demand Crisis, Structural Crisis, or Both?

Paul Krugman seems to believe that something like the bubble economy we enjoyed until it burst in 2008 could be had again if only our leaders were sufficiently bold.

An Outside the Box Stimulus Package: Stop Collecting Federal Taxes For Awhile. Period.

Karl Smith does the math and doesn’t see why the Federal government should be collecting ANY taxes right now.

Obama Should Listen to Small Businesses, Not Conservatives

Obama’s economic policies are failing because he’s listening to conservatives – not small businesses.

Is There Really Anything Ben Bernanke Can Do?

Ben Bernanke didn’t offer many clues in his speech today, but one wonders if he really has any tricks left up his sleeve.

Another Round of QE3?

Will the Fed announce another round of Quantitative Easing?

US Bond Prices Soar: No, It’s Not Good News

The 30-year bond has actually gained more than a point in early trading after the S&P downgrade!

World Reacts To U.S. Debt Downgrade

Like the rest of us, financial analysts across the globe are trying to figure out what the U.S. debt downgrade means.

Debt Deal Winners and Losers

Now that America’s political leadership have probably averted a self-inflicted global economic calamity, it’s time to assess the winners and losers.

The Debt Ceiling is a Housekeeping Procedure

The House Republicans are functionally insane.

Is The House GOP’s “Cut Cap And Balance” Vote A Political Stunt? Probably

The House GOP has scheduled a vote next week on a debt ceiling package that is solely designed to mollify the base.

Who Wins If There’s No Debt Deal?

The idea that the GOP can block a debt ceiling vote and benefit politically is, quite simply, absurd.

Government Debt is Currently Cheaper Than Cash

Right now, it’s more prudent for the Federal government to borrow money than to pay cash.

Even If There’s No Default, There Will Still Be Pain

The idea that we can avoid the consequences of failing to raise the debt ceiling is patently absurd.

Obama Still Trying To Sell GOP On “Grand Bargain” Debt Deal

It was a largely fruitless weekend in the debt negotiations.

Evidence of the Consequence of Default

A study shows how a brief blip in payments in 1979 had negative consequences.

Is Washington Fighting The Wrong Economic War?

While unemployment remains stubbornly high, Washington is spending its time fighting over the budget deficit

White House Rejects “14th Amendment Option” On Debt Ceiling

The White House has apparently rejected using a tortured interpretation of the 14th Amendment to deal with the debt ceiling debate.

Obama Is President, But Is He A Leader?

Barack Obama’s leadership style may be his undoing.

U.S. in Worse Shape than Greece

We might be looking at a potential fiscal crisis.

Economic Horror Show

And even more bad news.

We Are On the Verge of Great, Great Depression

All in all, not looking like it will be a fun summer.

Are we Living in the Nightmare that Rand Predicted?

Is our current economic situation the result of massive government intervention? The Randians certainly think so.

Moodys: GOP Spending Cut Plan Could Cost 700,000 Jobs

Moodys warns the the Republican plan to cut spending could cost the economy 700,000 jobs.

Cutting the Budget

Debt Ceiling Vote Will Be The GOP’s First Test

Freshman Members of Congress are threatening to block a vote to raise the debt ceiling that Congress will have to take by this Spring. They’d be irresponsible if they did so.

What, Exactly, Is The Federal Reserve Up To?

The Federal Reserve is injecting $ 600,000,000,000 into the economy, primarily in the hope that it will boost stock prices and, in turn, the economy. It might work, but if it doesn’t the consequences could be severe.

Breaking: Stock Market is Weird

Dow closes above 11,000 for first time since May after a decline in jobs boosts hopes of stimulus measures from the Fed.

The Risk of a Fiscal Crisis

The CBO sees a clear threat of a fiscal crisis during the next two decades unless we’re saved by magic ponies.

Fear And The Housing Market

For many reasons, the housing market is unlikely to fully recover for the foreseeable future.

Fed Will Take Action ‘If’ Economy Falters

The Fed chair, seemingly oblivious to the fact things are pretty bad already, promises to do something if the economy falters. But he’s about out of arrows in his quiver.

2nd Quarter GDP Growth Revised Downward To 1.6%

Another set of bad economic numbers are out today, and one wonders when we’ll start getting the good news.

Limits of Transparency

If lawyers and MBAs don’t understand their mortgage documents, what chance do the rest of us have?