Nate Silver Leaving New York Times For ESPN, ABC
Three years after joining The New York Times, Nate Silver is jumping ship to Disney’s ESPN and ABC.
GOP In Good Position To Grab Senate Control In 2014
The GOP’s chances to take over the Senate became much better over the weekend.
The Politics Of Scandal
President Obama faces some perilous times ahead now that his Administration is under fire.
The Disappearing Presidential Honeymoon
Presidential honeymoons aren’t what they used to be, and President Obama’s second term honeymoon isn’t likely to last very long.
Congressional Gridlock And The Disappearing Swing District
There are very rational reasons behind the current gridlock on Capitol Hill.
A Map Is Worth A Thousand Votes
Democrats are approaching an “Electoral College lock.” Republicans are trying to pick it.
Joe Scarborough Answers the “Is our Pundits Learning?” Challenge
Seems that the answer continues to be “no.”
Unskewed Polls Guy Now Claiming Election Was Stolen
Dean “Unskewed Polls” Chambers is back, and he’s as deluded as ever.
2012 Pollster Rankings: Rasmussen And Gallup Among The Least Accurate
There are some expected and unexpected results in Nate Silver’s review of pollster accuracy in 2012.
Unfortunately For the GOP, Democrats Have An Electoral College Advantage
The Democratic Party appears to have a lock on a substantial part of the Electoral College. That poses a problem for Republicans.
One More about the UnSkewed v. Reality Discussion
Wherein I get a bit petty (but to make a point and, maybe just because it amuses me).
Conservative Media Bubble
If you’re a white Southerner who gets most of his information from Fox News and Rush Limbaugh, you probably don’t know a lot of people who voted for Barack Obama.
Barack Obama Re-Elected President Of The United States
There are still votes to be counted, and the Romney campaign has yet to concede, but the race is over and Barack Obama has been re-elected.
Did Hurricane Sandy Blunt Romney’s Momentum?
Republicans already seem to be blaming Hurricane Sandy in the event Mitt Romney loses.
Interpretation, Art, and Analysis
The analyst actually wants to understand and be correct far more than he or she wants their preferences to prevail in the analysis
2012 Presidential Election Predictions
The OTB gang give their best guess at the outcome of the 2012 presidential contest.
Presidential Race ‘Tight’ in Meaningless National Polls [UPDATED]
A week out from the election, President Obama is a heavy favorite to win re-election. But the major press continues to pretend otherwise.
The Race Might Not Be Over On November 6th
There are several circumstances under which we may not know who won the 2012 election for some time after November 6th
Summing up the Polling Debate
Dean Chambers of UnSkewed fame, puts the polling debate into sharp perspective.
Rasmussen’s 2012 Polling Has Had A Republican Bias All Year
As in 2010, Scott Rasmussen’s polling in 2012 has shown a distinct bias in favor of Republicans.
There’s No Good Reason To Get Rid Of The Electoral College
The arguments in favor of major changes in the way we elect our President are unpersuasive.
Gender Gap: Gone Yet at Record High
A recent poll has Obama and Romney tied among women. Another gives Obama a 33 point edge.
Romney’s Post-Debate Surge Continuing, But Will It Last Past Tuesday?
Mitt Romney continues to benefit from the first Presidential Debate, but will that last past the second debate?
Will Tonight’s Vice-Presidential Debate Matter?
Sizing up the stakes for tonight’s one and only meeting between the two Vice-Presidential candidates.
Romney’s Post-Debate Poll Bump
Mitt Romney has gotten a bump in the polls from Wednesday debate, but it’s still too early to say if it means anything.
Electoral College Tie Possible (But Damned Unlikely)
Nate Silver offers a scenario where Obama and Romney each get 269 Electoral College votes.
The Most Serious Aspect of the Poll Denialist Position
Getting to the heart of the problem from my POV (plus historical numbers).
