Are Pundits Underestimating Herman Cain?

Would Republicans really be crazy enough to nominate Herman Cain?

Not Exactly A Honeymoon In Vegas

It was a Las Vegas slugfest last night, but once again Mitt Romney walked away unscathed.

Occupy Wall Street Outside The Mainstream?

Does “Occupy Wall Street” really represent the people they claim to be speaking for?

Reports Of Rick Perry’s Political Death Are Greatly Exaggerated

Rick Perry has stumbled out of the gate, but he’ll be in this race for the long haul

Initial Rick Perry Boomlet Fading, Opening An Opportunity For Romney

Rick Perry has faltered, and that has given Mitt Romney an opening.

Republican Debate: Romney Perry Fight Dominates Conversation

Last night’s GOP debate was a two-man affair.

Irene Lived Up to the Hype: Nate Silver

The very question is rather dubious.

Perry Opens Wide Lead (in Rasmussen Poll)

Do we have a new frontrunner in the race for the Republican nomination?

Is Ames Straw Poll Meaningless? Or is it Iowa?

The Ames Straw Poll is like the first scrimmage of NFL training camp.

Ames Matters, But What If Ron Paul Wins?

Time for the spinning of the straw poll results to begin.

Wisconsin Recall: Republicans Hold 4 of 6, Senate

The second round of the rolling Wisconsin recall elections was held yesterday. The Republicans are still in charge.

The GOP’s Debt Ceiling Gamble

By choosing to go it alone on a debt ceiling plan, the GOP is taking a big risk.

Republican Governors Remarkably Unpopular

Are the new crop of GOP governors too conservative?

The Economy And The 2012 Elections

It isn’t just President Obama who should be worried about the economy next year.

Obama Walks Out of Talks Saying ‘Don’t Call My Bluff’

President Obama has walked out of negotiations on the debt ceiling with an agreement is nowhere in sight.

The GOP Is Now Controlled By Its Conservative Base

More than any other time in the past, the GOP is now firmly under the control of its most conservative members.

Andrew Cuomo 2016?

The passage of a new same-sex marriage law has Democrats talking about Andrew Cuomo.

Should Jon Huntsman Be Considered A Contender?

On paper, Jon Huntsman looks like a great General Election candidate. The problem is it seems impossible for him to win the GOP nomination.

A Libertarian Moment?

Recent polls seem to indicate a shift in public opinion in a more libertarian direction.

Reagan’s Question Looms For Obama

Are you better off than you were four years ago?

Unemployment and Presidential Elections

Unemployment was high when Barack Obama took office and it’s gotten substantially higher. Does that mean he won’t get re-elected?

Herman Cain: Rising Star, Or Flash In The Pan?

Herman Cain is getting a lot of attention lately, but will he amount to anything?

Will One Election Decide The Fate Of The Ryan Plan?

Voters in New York State may help move the budget debate on Capitol Hill.

Mike Huckabee Bows Out Of 2012 Race: “The Factors Say Go, But My Heart Says No.”

We won’t have Mike Huckabee to kick around in 2012.

Obama Gets A Post Bin Laden Bounce In New Poll

Americans are rallying around the President in the wake of the mission against bin Laden, but it’s likely to be short-lived.

The Politics Of The Death Of Osama bin Laden

The impact of the death of Osama bin Laden on the domestic politics is likely to be minimal at best.

Donald Trump: Republican Frontrunner? Or, Harbinger Of Republican Doom?

For the first time, Donald Trump is leading a poll for the GOP 2012 nomination. That’s bad news for the GOP.

Early Primary Polls: Better Than You Think?

Nate Silver argues today’s polls “have a reasonable amount of predictive power in informing us as to the identity of the eventual nominee.”

Poll: Majority Opposes Laws Restricting Public Employee Unions

A new national poll suggests that moves to restrict the collective bargaining rights of public sector unions are not popular with the public at large:

Blogging 101

Some thoughts on why certain topics get blogged.

Sarah Palin Unfavorables Reach Critical Mass

Sarah Palin’s unfavorability ratings continue to climb. And there’s very little room for her recovery.

Mid-Term Job Approval & Election Results

Honest pundits will tell you that it’s simply too early to make useful predictions about the 2012 elections.

Obama’s Tax Cut Compromise: Masterful Politics, Or A Fatal Cave-In?

President Obama is already taking heat from the left for his compromise on tax cut extensions, but will it actually hurt him in the end?

Bush Tax Cut Extension Near

Republican maneuvering to extend the Bush tax cuts for all Americans appears about to pay off.

Why Democrats Are Losing The Tax Cut Debate

Democrats are losing the debate over the extension of the Bush tax cuts, but when you look at the playing field it seems pretty clear that that they never had a chance.

Conservatives Ponder The Sarah Palin Problem

Some on the right are beginning to realize that Sarah Palin’s popularity may cause a serious problem for the GOP in 2012.

Republican 2012 Nominee: Who It Won’t Be

While Tim Pawlenty and John Thune get high marks from insiders, they have next to no shot at winning the 2012 Republican nomination for president.

Rasmussen Bias Redux

Rasmussen’s sample is biased because they’re polling on the cheap — using robocalls, which by law can’t dial cell phones, and otherwise cutting corners — rather than because of some agenda to propagandize for the GOP. The end result, however, is the same: Polls that can’t be trusted.

Rasmussen Poll Overestimated Republican Vote

Rasmussen polls were biased toward Republicans by 3 to 4 points. Rigged results? Or screening error?

Johnny Carson as Carnak Johnny Carson as Carnak

2010 Election Predictions

We’ve been talking about the 2010 elections since, oh, the day after the 2008 elections.   Now, it’s time for final predictions.

Trouble For Joe Miller In Alaska?

A Hayes Research poll has Joe Miller in 3rd place in Alaska. They’re the only ones showing that and have a very poor track record.

Angle Attorney: Reid Intends to Steal Election

Sharron Angle’s attorney is charging that “Harry Reid intends to steal this election if he can’t win it outright.” She touts various “shenanigans” in a fundraising letter.