Outside the Beltway

Massachusetts Democrat Seth Moulton makes an argument familiar to OTB readers.

A WaPo data analyst gives it a shot.

Some examples from 2018 of the problems with single seat districts.

The emergence of a silly talking point.

The 2018 midterms were mostly about Donald Trump. The results were idiosyncratic.

Minority rule and self-reinforcing cleavages are not a a healthy combination.

New polling seems to show a significant shift toward Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections.

Forget the “republic v. a democracy” abstraction. The numbers show some serious flaws in translating popular will into government.

Eleven states plus DC, who have 172 of the 270 electoral votes needed to elect a President, are now part of the compact.

The campaign-agnostic political science models predicted a toss-up in 2016 and again in 2020.

If the polls are any indication, Democrats may fall short in their bid to take back the House in November.

Recent polls have caused Republicans to become more optimistic about their chances in this year’s midterms. That optimism is both premature and misplaced.

Great Britain heads to the polls today.

How close to success is the National Popular Vote initiative? (Spoiler alert: not close).

The President-elect lost the popular vote. Legally, that is the way that is it. This is a disgrace for “the Greatest Democracy in the World.”

The candidate I voted for got more than 200,000 votes for president than the winner. I’m okay with that.

What to watch for tonight.

The worst convention in history has given Trump a yuuge bounce.

Hillary Clinton has a slight lead in national polling over Donald Trump as the battle for the White House really begins.

Polling in three battleground states shows Hillary Clinton slightly trailing three top Republicans, but it means far less than you might think.

After the 2010 elections, several newly Republican state legislatures flirted with the idea of changing the way their state allocates Electoral Votes. The outcome of last weeks elections raises the possibility that this could happen again.

New York has joined nine other states and the District of Columbia to vote to for an Electoral College bypass.

Some proposed reforms just need to be ignored.

There are some expected and unexpected results in Nate Silver’s review of pollster accuracy in 2012.

The Democratic Party appears to have a lock on a substantial part of the Electoral College. That poses a problem for Republicans.

In a posting for New Atlanticist titled “Status Quo Election,” I note the near total absence of foreign affairs from a presidential campaign that’s mercifully coming to an end.

The arguments in favor of major changes in the way we elect our President are unpersuasive.

A recent poll has Obama and Romney tied among women. Another gives Obama a 33 point edge.

No, the electoral college does not encourage the candidates to pay special attention to the small states.

National numbers can overstate regional preferences.

It’s still possible for Mitt Romney to win this election, but is it probable?

The most recent round of national polling seems to show that the negative attacks on Romney are having an impact.

Yes, again with the EC.

Republicans have a plan to wrest half of the Keystone State’s electors from Obama.

The Electoral College is the worst way to elect a President, except for all the others.

Massachusetts becomes the latest state to join in the National Popular Vote initiative.

Massachusetts will become the latest state to join the National Popular Vote movement, a compact wherein states throw their Electoral College votes to the nationwide winner once enough states agree to ensure that outcome.