Looking to the 2024 Senate Map

A tough map for the Democrats.

U. S. Sending Abrams Tanks After All

An object lesson on the challenges of alliance politics.

Matt Yglesias’ Return to His Roots

The one-time Juiceboxer is still annoying the mainstream media.

GOP Clown Show Continues

After two days of futility, a deal is coming together to make futility permanent.

The GOP Clown Show

Just when you thought they couldn’t get more incompetent.

Punishment for Acquitted Conduct

The Supreme Court may revisit a controversial criminal justice ruling.

The NFL is Taking Over

The biggest entertainment product in America is getting bigger.

Forecasting 2024 Way Too Early

There are at most eight toss-up states for the 2024 Presidential election.

GOP Still Failing Trump “Termination” Test

Contrary to a Politico headline, the GOP response to Trump’s anti-constitution talk continues to underwhelm.

GOP Continues to Fail the Test

The response to extreme rhetoric from Trump is producing the some old responses.

The Deterioration and Death of Old Media

Headline News Network is shuttering after four decades.

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Bipartisan Bill Protects Same-Sex and Interracial Marriages

Congress is poised to legislate protections previously mandated by the courts.

A Consensus Speaker of the House!

More centrist fantasies.

Red and Blue States Aren’t Permanent

The margins for 2024 are likely to be slim. But that hides a larger story.

Trump Hemmorhaging Donors and Backers

The ship is abandoning the sinking rat.

Republican Governors Don’t Like Trump

Alas, it probably doesn’t matter.

Democrats’ Chaotic Skullduggery

There was some quiet meddling going on.

Does Campaign Money Matter?

How much is enough?

Nevada ‘Blue Shift’ Expected to Keep Senate Democratic

Adam Laxalt’s big lead is slowly erodiing.

Making Sense of the Election

Parsing the results thus far.

Murdoch Gunning for Trump

The New York Post and Wall Street Journal are blasting the losing loser.

Beware The Exit Polls

The numbers aren’t real. Not yet, anyway.

Republican Losers Conceding, Not Rioting

A low bar has been cleared.

Trump 2022’s Biggest Loser

The 2020 loser has doubled down on losing.

Democrats Outperform Expectations

The Needle is Broken

Crystal Ball Final 2022 Ratings

Describe the sound made when a sheep explodes.

Congressional Control Still Too Close to Call

We likely won’t know on Election Night.

Fear and Resentment of a Changing America

A revealing comparison of Republican districts that deny and don’t deny the 2020 outcome.

Midterm Polls Shifting Republican

The race is returning to expectation.

The High Price of Politicizing COVID

Republicans have died at a far higher rate than Democrats.

Asking the Wrong Questions

Tudor’s down. No laughing or drinking, just a crippled party.

The Emerging Democratic Majority at 20

How well has the famous thesis fared?

The Polls Are Essentially Meaningless But They’re Here to Stay

They could be overstating support for Democrats. Or understating it. Or be more or less right.

Trump Tipping Point?

As more details emerge about the documents he stole, defenders are falling away.

Nonhierarchical Parties and the Problems of Candidate Selection

American parties are coordination problems with shared branding.

Friday Quick Hits

A few quick observations at the end of the week.

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What’s Politics For, Anyway?

Capitol Hill Republicans are turning the concept on its head.

January 6 Committee Closing in On Trump

New evidence gets us a wee bit closer to a smoking gun.

Saturday Afternoon Tabs

It’s been more of a reading than writing morning.

The Weak Case Against the January 6 Committee

Republicans killed their parents and demanding mercy for being orphaned.

Abortion Laws State by State

Abortion is now illegal or heavily restricted in at least 11 states.

Senate Passes Bipartisan Gun Bill

The most expansive firearms legislation in decades is likely to become law.

Two Republican Parties?

Some GOP governors are taking a stance against Trump.

Podcast Recommendation (Plus: More on US Democracy)

Ezra Klein discusses the dynamics of American conservatism in historical perspective. Plus, he helps illustrate a key problem that we have in thinking about American politics (IMHO).

January 6 Committee Subpoenas Republican Leaders

An unprecedented manuever in response to unprecedented obstruction.

Another Example of Primaries in Action

The Ohio GOP Senate contest.

Will It Matter That Kevin McCarthy Was Caught Lying?

Anyone familiar with Betteridge’s law of headlines knows where this is going.

Republican Efforts to Steal Election Were Widespread

Did we not already know this?

Is this Cancel Culture? (Unicorn Edition)

An irregualr, ongoing series.