Outside the Beltway

Looking back at my predictions about the 2020 Democratic race.

The races are more alike—and yet more different—than we seem to remember.

Could the fevered dream really come true?

There’s a very real possibility the legitimacy of the 2020 election will be contested.

Hong Kong voters send a strong message to Beijing, and the world.

After months of anti-government protests, Hong Kong headed to the polls in record number.

The next steps in the impeachment process are relatively easy to predict.

Much like it did during the McCarthy Era, the Republican Party has to decide what side of history it wishes to be on. The right side, or the wrong side.

The House of Commons handed Prime Minister Boris Johnson a huge loss yesterday, throwing the short-term future of Brexit into doubt.

Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg underwent three weeks of cancer treatment earlier this summer. The second such treatment in a year, and the fourth in the last twenty years.

Beto O’Rourke is once again rejecting the idea of running for Senate instead of President.

The Trump Administration is warning Congress that we will need to raise the debt ceiling by September. Congress should take this as an opportunity to eliminate it entirely.

Later today, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals will hear argument in a case that could upend the Affordable Care Act.

A law review article written when the former was a student provides an interesting contrast.

June’s jobs report brought in stronger than expected numbers but the fact that these numbers have not been consistent all year makes one wonder what the state of the economy really is.

Not surprisingly, the President’s opening speech of the 2020 campaign was filed with lies.

Four years ago, Donald Trump began his campaign for President. What has followed has been as bad as could have been predicted that day.

The current economic recovery turns ten years old this month, but it can’t last forever.

At least some conservatives appear to finally be recognizing that their movement has been taken over by grifters and frauds. The only question is, what took them so long?

May’s Jobs Report came back with disappointing jobs growth, suggesting that the economy may be slowing down.

A new poll of Texas voters shows President Trump doing worse than expected against potential Democratic challengers. Should Republicans be worried?

David Brooks joins the long line of commenters predicting the GOP’s demise.

A new report indicates that Russian social media trolls are involved in spreading anti-vaccination propaganda in the United States and elsewhere.

The transatlantic rejection of elite consensus that began with Brexit continues.

First quarter economic growth came in higher than expected, but there are several caveats worth keeping an eye on.

In 2016, a crowded Republican field yielded an unlikely nominee. Could history repeat itself in 2020?

The legendary figure was in charge of strategic forecasting at the Pentagon for decades.

Oral argument hints that we may have a 5-4 ruling allowing state legislatures to continue stacking the deck.

A new tool for looking at possible Presidential election outcomes.

Roger Stone, who worked with the Trump campaign in an official and unofficial capacity throughout the campaign, has been indicted by Special Counsel Robert Mueller.

Theresa May survived the Labour Party’s call for a no-confidence vote, but the future for her and for her country remain as hazy as ever.

Two years of Republican control of the Legislative and Executive Branches has put us back on a path toward $1 trillion budget deficits.

Eight years after it was signed into law, a Federal Judge has ruled the Affordable Care Act to be unconstitutional.

This time, the rumors about John Kelly leaving appear to be true.

There’s yet another rumor that White House Chief of Staff John Kelly could be on the way out.

Preliminary figures indicate that voter turnout in the 2018 midterms was higher than it has been for any midterm election in fifty-two years.

It’s all over but the vote counting.

For better or worse, here are my projections for the midterm elections.

Fear-mongering of various types on full display.

September jobs growth fell short of expectations even as the top-line unemployment rate reached a point unseen since 1969.

President Trump claims that November will see a “red wave” rather than the “blue wave” that most analysts are expecting. There’s no evidence to support his hypothesis.

Florida voters in the Republican and Democratic parties have set up a Gubernatorial race that provides a stark choice on the table for Sunshine State voters in a race that will likely have national implications moving forward.

With Justice Kennedy retiring, the new center of the Roberts Court is likely to be the Chief Justice himself.

The North American delegation has won the right to lose a whole lot of money putting on a soccer tournament.

A couple weeks ago, the North Koreans made a big deal about destroying their nuclear test site. It now appears that the event the media witnessed was less than meets the eye.

The GOP’s most vulnerable incumbent is still looking very vulnerable.

Kyrsten Sinema, the likely Democratic nominee for the Senate in Arizona, is leading all three of her potential Republican challengers. This could spell trouble for the GOP.

The campaign-agnostic political science models predicted a toss-up in 2016 and again in 2020.

Profiles in courage? With Republicans in the Trump Era, it’s more like profiles in cowardice.