President Joe Biden in the Oval Office of the White House, Monday, October 9, 2023. President Joe Biden in the Oval Office of the White House, Monday, October 9, 2023.

Biden Approval at Record Low

He’s at 61 percent disapproval in the lastest Monmouth poll.

Mike Pence Drops Out of Non-Race

The fourth place candidate for second place in the Republican primaries has taken his ball and gone home to Mother.

Who The Hell is Dean Phillips?

It’s quite the week for politicians with generic names nobody has ever heard of.

The Faux Haley Boomlet

The press really needs to stop trying to make fetch happen.

Trump Has Huge Lead With Those Who Won’t Vote

Oh, the irony.

Stupid Polling Tricks

Americans don’t want either Trump or Biden! Film at 11.

Could Trump Really Be President Again?

It’s not nearly as far-fetched as most of us would like to believe.

What Would It Take to Beat Trump for the Republican Nomination?

The former President has a 50 point lead. Is he unstoppable?

Trump Remains Odds-On Favorite for 2024 Republican Nomination

As tired as we may be of him, his nominating electorate appears ready for another round.

Minority Rule Isn’t a Myth

The will of the majority can prevail even in a skewed system.

Republicans Winning House Popular Vote?

A surprising factoid in a bad election for the party.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on lowering the cost for American families Friday, April 22, 2022, at Green River College in Auburn, Washington. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on lowering the cost for American families Friday, April 22, 2022, at Green River College in Auburn, Washington. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

Biden Less Popular Than Worst President Ever

He’s underwater and not going to take it anymore.

President Joe Biden calls New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy, Wednesday, November 3, 2021, in the Oval Office Study. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden calls New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy, Wednesday, November 3, 2021, in the Oval Office Study. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

Biden a Failure?

Some of his numbers are worse than even Donald Trump’s.

Why Are Biden’s Polls So Awful?

A pretty good President has numbers comparable to his historically bad predecessor.

Trump Leads Biden in Meaningless Poll

We’re three short years from the next election.

Biden’s Polls and Magical Thinking

The President’s approval has plummeted, largely because of factors outside his control.

Biden’s Plunging Job Approval!

Democrats and Independents are losing their enthusiasm. But some perspective is needed.

Democrats Increasingly Frustrated with Congress

It turns out a 51-50 Senate majority isn’t enough.

Yes, Presidential Approval Matters

An explanation to a question you likely weren’t asking.

Post-Election National Survey

Some interesting findings from the preeminent Republican polling firm.

Is the Race Narrowing?

Trump has pulled ahead in some individual polls but Biden continues to have a commanding lead.

How Confident Should We Be in the Polls?

Two prominent media pollsters are hedging their bets.

Peek Hack

Up is down. Down is up.

President Donald J. Trump boards Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Md. Friday, July 10, 2020, en route to Miami International Airport in Miami President Donald J. Trump boards Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Md. Friday, July 10, 2020, en route to Miami International Airport in Miami

No, Trump Isn’t Above 50%

Let’s just say Rasmussen is an extreme outlier.

Election 2020 Snapshot

A Blue Wave still looks quite likely.

VP Debate 2020

Kamala Harris wins by not losing.

Five Weeks Out

Joe Biden’s chances remain extraordinarily good.

President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks prior to signing H.R. 1957- The Great American Outdoors Act Tuesday, August 4, 2020, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour) President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks prior to signing H.R. 1957- The Great American Outdoors Act Tuesday, August 4, 2020, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour)

Woodward Revelations Hurting Trump

A new poll shows meaningful shifts in public attitudes.

Thinking About an EC/Popular Vote Inversion

Our screwy electoral system requires thinking about screwy scenarios.

Post-Convention Reality Check

We’re winding down to Election Day. Where do we stand?

Biden Well Ahead of Clinton at This Stage

Comparisons with 2016 all work against Trump’s re-election.

Biden’s Massive Lead

President Trump is behind 14 points in the latest NYT poll.

Interpreting Interpretation

A too-long discourse on how courts should function.

Biden in the Driver’s Seat

The Economist gives Joe Biden an 83% chance to win the Electoral College.

President Donald J. Trump participates in a FOX News Channel virtual town hall entitled America Together: Returning to Work, with co-moderators Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum live from the Lincoln Memorial Sunday, May 3, 2020, in Washington, D.C. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead) President Donald J. Trump participates in a FOX News Channel virtual town hall entitled America Together: Returning to Work, with co-moderators Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum live from the Lincoln Memorial Sunday, May 3, 2020, in Washington, D.C. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead)

There is No Plan

A sober assessment of President Trump’s plan to get the country running again.

President Donald J. Trump and First Lady Melania Trump participate in a tree planting ceremony in honor of Earth Day and Arbor Day Wednesday, April 22, 2020, on the South Lawn of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Andrea Hanks) President Donald J. Trump and First Lady Melania Trump participate in a tree planting ceremony in honor of Earth Day and Arbor Day Wednesday, April 22, 2020, on the South Lawn of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Andrea Hanks)

Trump in Trouble

Things are not looking good.

President Donald J. Trump, joined by Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar, left, and Attorney General William Barr, displays his signature after signing an Executive Order to Prevent Hoarding and Price Gouging, Monday, March 23, 2020, in the Oval Office of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead) President Donald J. Trump, joined by Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar, left, and Attorney General William Barr, displays his signature after signing an Executive Order to Prevent Hoarding and Price Gouging, Monday, March 23, 2020, in the Oval Office of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead)

Trump Approval Up During Crisis

The President seems to be enjoying a mild rally effect.

Steyer as South Carolina Spoiler

The vanity candidate may impact the race.

Nevada Caucuses Go as Expected

Media overreacts to the Sanders victory all the polls predicted.

Democracy is Hurting Democrats

The wrong people are choosing the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

Post-Iowa Reset Not What You’d Expect

Biden’s support is in decline. But it’s not clear that Buttigieg is getting an Iowa bounce.

Ratfucking the Democratic Primaries?

There’s a campaign to encourage anti-Trump Republicans and independents to vote in New Hampshire.

Has the Democratic Race Changed?

Is there a new frontrunner?

A Year in Which Nothing Happened

We’re right back where we started.

Democratic Debate Stage Set To Shrink Again

Next week’s Democratic debate could have as few as five candidates.

Andrew Yang Raises $16.5 Million In Fourth Quarter

Andrew Yang had an impressive fourth quarter when it comes to fundraising, but it appears unlikely to help his campaign at all.

Bernie Sanders Raises Nearly $35 Million In Last Quarter Of 2019

A big fundraising quarter for the Senator from Vermont.

Pete Buttigieg Raises $24.8 Million In Final Quarter Of 2019

Pete Buttigieg had a very successful fundraising quarter at the same time he is rising in the polls.

Previewing The Sixth Democratic Debate

It’s time for the last Democratic debate of 2019, and the stage will be smaller than it has at any time in the past.