Obama Continues Slipping In Public Opinion Polls

Time to start talking about lame ducks?

Paul Ryan And Patty Murray Reach Budget Deal, But Can It Pass Congress?

A budget deal has been reached, now it has to get through both Chambers of Congress.

A Texas-Sized Primary Challenge, Or Much Ado About Nothing?

Congressman Steve Stockman’s primary challenge of Senator John Cornyn could be a big deal, or, more likely, it could be a dud.

November Jobs Report Stronger Than Expected

Some good numbers for November in the Jobs report, but questions about the future remain.

Revised GDP Figures Show Strong Growth, Until You Look At The Details

3.6% GDP growth in the 3rd Quarter, but the devil is in the details.

Democrats Dominate List Of Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2014

The 7 seats most likely to switch parties are held by Democrats.

Chris Christie Leads Republican Field In 2016 Poll

Chris Christie has had a very good month, and it’s ending with him with a strong lead among potential Republican candidates for 2016.

Republicans Regain Lead In Generic Congressional Ballot, For Now At Least

The Generic Congressional Ballot has shifted again, but how long will this trend last?

GOP On ObamaCare: Goodbye Repeal/Defund/Delay, Hello ‘Let It Burn’?

The GOP seems to be shifting strategy on the Affordable Care Act.

Time To Start Thinking About Another Government Shutdown ‘Crisis’?

Are we headed for another Federal Government shutdown, or will Congress actually do its job this time?

ObamaCare Problems Put Obama’s Poll Numbers In A Tailspin

The trends in President Obama’s approval numbers are not moving in the direction he ought to want them to go.

Rand Paul: Government Shutdown I Was Totally Behind With My Floor Votes Was A “Dumb Idea”

The Junior Senator from Kentucky does some re-writing of history.

OTB Caption Contest Winners

The Tiger Rag Edition Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Democrats On Capitol Hill Starting To Get Very Nervous About Obamacare

Congressional Democrats are not very pleased with the White House right now.

Healthcare.gov May Not Be Fixed By November 30th

With just over two weeks today, rumors are starting to float out that the efforts to fix the Federal Exchange website may not be done in time.

Congressional Job Approval Hits Record Low

Once again, pretty much everybody hates Congress. However, it’s unclear if that will matter come Election Day.

McConnell Fires A Shot Across The Bow Of The Tea Party

When it comes to the unfolding conflict inside the GOP, Mitch McConnell seems to have fired an opening shot.

Is Prayer At The Start Of A Legislative Session Constitutional?

Do prayers opening legislative sessions violate the First Amendment? The Supreme Court is set to decide that issue.

October Jobs Report Stronger Than Expected

A better than expected jobs report in October, but one that comes with a few caveats.

The Cuccinelli Blame Game And The GOP Civil War

Accusations of blame are already being tossed around about why Republicans lost in Virginia, and they mirror a broader debate in the Republican Party nationally.

Economy Grows At Good, But Far From Great, Rate In 3rd Quarter

A good initial GDP report for the 3rd Quarter, but hardly something to write home about.

Did Obamacare Nearly Cost Terry McAuliffe The Election?

Republicans are contending that the nearly won the Virginia Governor’s race by emphasizing Obamacare in the closing weeks, but the evidence supporting that contention is far from clear.

McAuliffe Wins, But Virginia Is Still A Purpleish State

The race for Virginia Governor turned out to be much closer than many predicted, but that should not be a surprise.

House GOP and District Level Margin of Victory (and its Relation to the Vote on the Budget Deal)

87.18% of the caucus is elected from safe to very safe districts and, therefore, the only real fear that they might have for their jobs would be at the primary stage.

Obama Hits Majority Disapproval

A majority of Americans now disapprove of President Obama’s performance and a whopping 70 percent think the country is moving in the wrong direction.

More on the Political Center and Capitol Hill

There is far less overlap between the two parties in the House–and the shift has been empirically rightward.

The Political Center Is Dead, At Least On Capitol Hill

It’s no wonder there’s no compromise in Congress.

Put A Fork In Ken Cuccinelli, He’s Done

There’s still a week to go in Virginia’s Governor’s race, but it’s clear that this race is effectively over.

Revelations About NSA Surveillance Souring U.S. Relationships With Other Nations

The latest revelations about National Security Agency surveillance outside the United States have caused quite an uproar overseas.

November 5th Not Looking Good For Virginia Republicans

With debate season over, it’s looking less and less likely that Virginia Republicans will be able to hold back the Democrats on November 5th.

Yes, Immigration Reform Is Dead, Probably Until 2015 At The Earliest

The prospect of Congressional action on immigration before the midterms just got a whole lot less likely.

Senator Joe Manchin Working On Bill To Delay Obamacare Mandate Due To Website Woes

The bad roll out of the Affordable Care Act is starting to lead to calls for delays in enforcement of the law.

Tea Party Senate Candidate In Mississippi Has Ties To Neo-Confederate/Secessionist Group

Several conservative groups have jumped on the bandwagon of what appears to be a controversial Mississippi politician.

Delayed September Jobs Report Disappoints

Nothing to write home about in the September Jobs Report.

The Shutdown and the Damage Done

My latest for The National Interest, “The Military and the Shutdown: Assessing the Damage,” is out.

Congressional Republicans Wake Up To Post-Shutdown Poll Headaches, Will It Matter In 2014?

Polling looks bleak for the GOP right now, but it’s unclear what that will mean a year from now.

Nobody For Virginia Governor

The Richmond Times-Dispatch has endorsed “none of the above” for governor of Virginia.

What Lessons Will The GOP Learn From The Shutdown?

Will the GOP learn the right lessons from the just-concluded showdown? That remains to be seen.

Obama, Democrats To Push Immigration Reform Next?

Immigration reform may be the next big battle on Capitol Hill, but it’s going to be far different from the one that just concluded.

The Coming GOP Civil War

The shutdown debacle seems destined to lead to a battle between the Tea Party and the more business oriented elements of the GOP