Post-New Hampshire Polling

We now have five candidates in double-digits.

NH Hot Take (9:30pm Eastern)

Some thoughts based on incomplete results.

Ratfucking the Democratic Primaries?

There’s a campaign to encourage anti-Trump Republicans and independents to vote in New Hampshire.

Front-Loaded Primary Schedule

The primary season has just started. It is almost over.

Iowa Shifting the Narrative?

The media coverage continues on script.

Democratic Primary Reset?

The 2016 frontrunners at this stage won their nominations easily. But that’s often not the case.

Warren And Biden Report Strong Fourth Quarter Fundraising Numbers

Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden both brought in impressive fundraising numbers for the final quarter of 2019.

Andrew Yang Raises $16.5 Million In Fourth Quarter

Andrew Yang had an impressive fourth quarter when it comes to fundraising, but it appears unlikely to help his campaign at all.

Bernie Sanders Raises Nearly $35 Million In Last Quarter Of 2019

A big fundraising quarter for the Senator from Vermont.

Pete Buttigieg Raises $24.8 Million In Final Quarter Of 2019

Pete Buttigieg had a very successful fundraising quarter at the same time he is rising in the polls.

Signs Of Trouble For Cory Booker

Cory Booker’s campaign is starting to show some of the same signs of collapse that Kamala Harris’s did.

Bloomberg Rising In The Polls, But Most Democrats Don’t Want Him

Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg is in fifth place in national polling, but a new poll suggests that he may not rise much further.

Brokered Convention Fantasies: 2020 Edition

It’s time to start speculating about a brokered convention again,even though it probably isn’t going to happen.

Bloomberg Not Worried About Missing Democratic Debates

Under the Democratic National Committee’s current qualification rules, Michael Bloomberg’s self-funded campaign means he wouldn’t qualify for any future debate. He doesn’t seem worried about that.

Mike Bloomberg Is Running For President.

After flirting with the idea many times over the past decade and a half, Mike Bloomberg is officially running for President.

Mike Bloomberg Takes Another Step Toward Officially Running

Mike Bloomberg isn’t officially a candidate for President yet, but he’s getting closer.

Biden’s South Carolina Firewall

Former Vice-President Joe Biden continues to hold a strong lead in South Carolina even while slipping in other early states.

Late-Entering Presidential Candidates Rarely Win

History shows us that candidates who enter the race for President late rarely do well, and rarely manage to win.

Deval Patrick Reportedly Considering Late Entry Into Presidential Race

Former Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick is reportedly considering a late entry into the race for the Democratic nomination.

Democratic Voters Not Exactly Enthusiastic About Mike Bloomberg

A new poll seems to indicate that Democratic voters aren’t exactly jumping on the Mike Bloomberg train.

Bleeding Cash, Kamala Harris Cuts Campaign Staff, And Spending

Facing a cash crunch, Kamala Harris is shedding campaign staff and cutting spending. This seldom ends well.

Fourth Democratic Debate Garners 8.3 Million Voters

The fourth Democratic debate saw a viewership dip from September, but there are likely some good reasons for that.

Andrew Yang Raises $10 Million In Third Quarter

An unexpectedly big fundraising quarter for an unlikely candidate.

Bernie Sanders Raises $25 Million In Third Quarter

Bernie Sanders has slipped in the polls but retains his ability to raise money.

Elizabeth Warren Continues To Gain On Bernie Sanders

A trio of new polls shows Elizabeth Warren slipping past Bernie Sanders into second place in the race for the 2020 Democratic nomination

Democrats Headed For A Brokered Convention?

The size of the Democratic Presidential field, combined with other things peculiar to the way Democrats pick their nominee, is leading some to wonder if we might see a brokered convention in 2020.

Does Media Coverage of 2020 Distort Reality?

A Washington Post columnists tries to make the case.

Time for a National Primary

The consolidation of Super Tuesday makes the current system even more broken than before.

California Moves Primary Date To March 3rd

California is set up throw a huge curve ball into the 2020 Presidential nomination fight.

Lamar Alexander Announces He Will Not Run For Re-Election In 2020

Tennessee will have an open Senate seat in 2020 thanks to Lamar Alexander’s decision to retire at the end of his current term.

Was Bernie Sanders The Ralph Nader Of 2016?

One professor is suggesting that Bernie Sanders played a role in 2016 similar to the one that Ralph Nader did in 2000. It doesn’t pass even cursory examination.

Clinton Wins Final ‘Super Tuesday’ Of 2016, Claims Victory In Nomination Fight

Hillary Clinton won the final Super Tuesday of the 2016 primary season, thus officially sending us into what promises to be among the most contentious General Election battles in recent memory.

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Donald Trump’s Campaign Manager Charged With Battery Against Reporter

The 2016 Campaign just keeps getting weirder.

Previewing The Biggest Night So Far In The 2016 Race For President

By the end of the night, we’re likely to be in an entirely new phase of the race for both the Republican and Democratic nominations.

Clinton Likely To Solidify Delegate Lead In Super Tuesday Part Two Contests

When all is said and done, Super Tuesday Part Two is likely to put Hillary Clinton significantly closer to being the inevitable Democratic nominee.

Super Tuesday Part Two Looking Very Good For Donald Trump

Less than twenty-four hours before voting starts, Donald Trump looks to do very well on what is arguably the most important day of the campaign.

Clinton Crushes In Mississippi, Sanders In Michigan, Clinton Still Controls The Race

Hilary Clinton crushed Bernie Sanders in Mississippi, but was surprised by Bernie Sanders in Michigan. Nonetheless she still remains in control of the race.

Despite Winning Two Caucuses, ‘Super Saturday’ Was Mostly Bad News For Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders won two of the three Democratic contests last night, but he fell further behind in the delegate count any way and isn’t very far from being mathematically eliminated.

If Only A Contested Convention Can Stop Trump, It’s A Plan That’s Unlikely To Succeed

It seems increasingly apparent that the only way to stop Donald Trump now is by trying to force a contested convention. It also seems clear that such a plan probably wouldn’t succeed.

Trump, Cruz, and Rubio Continue to Exchange Attacks In Eleventh Republican Debate

With time running out, the top three candidates for the Republican nomination picked up right where they left off last week.

Mitt Romney Denounces Donald Trump, But It’s Likely To Amount To Much Ado About Nothing

Mitt Romney came out with a blistering speech denouncing Donald Trump, but it’s unlikely to have much of an impact on the race.

Ben Carson Won’t Attend Next GOP Debate, Admits He Has No Viable Path Forward

Ben Carson announced today that he is skipping the next GOP debate and admitted that he does not see a viable path forward for his campaign. However, he didn’t formally withdraw from the race for the Republican nomination.

The Latest ‘Stop Trump’ Effort Is Probably Too Little, Too Late

A renewed internal GOP fight to stop Donald Trump seems to be doomed to fail.

Hillary Clinton Scores Decisive Super Tuesday Wins, Moves One Step Closer To Nomination

As expected, Hillary Clinton won big last night while Bernie Sanders largely floundered, thus going further toward making Clinton’s victory inevitable.

Donald Trump Dominates Super Tuesday, Cruz And Rubio Say They’ll Continue To Fight On

As expected, Donald Trump dominated Super Tuesday, putting himself one step closer to becoming the Republican nominee for President.

GOP’s Delegate Allocation Rules Are Helping Trump

Changes that the Republican National Committee made to delegate allocation rules in response to what happened in 2012 are helping Donald Trump in 2016.

Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton Poised To Leave Opponents In The Dust On Super Tuesday

It’s Super Tuesday, and both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are likely to go a long way toward securing the nominations of their respective parties.

New National Poll Finds No Evidence That Attacks From Rubio & Cruz Have Hurt Trump

A new national poll suggests that the newly aggressive tone from Senators Rubio and Cruz has done nothing to stop Donald Trump’s momentum.

Republican Race Descends Into Childish Taunts, Name Calling

Ever since last week’s debate, the race for the Republican nomination has come to resemble a schoolyard fight among a bunch of nine year-olds.