The Most Important Trump Number
Remember how I have noted (twice, in fact) that one of the factors one has to consider in terms of Trump’s poll numbers is the current fragmentation of the field? In other words, leading a field of more than a dozen, even with numbers in the mid-20s raising the question of whether he can garner second and third preference support when the other candidates start falling away.
Well, here’s at least one answer to that question that I missed from last month:
From the linked piece:
Among Republicans — you know, the people who decide the identity of their party’s presidential nominee — Trump has a net negative 42 rating. As in 23 percent of Republicans had a favorable view of Trump while 65 percent(!) had an unfavorable one.
Just one in ten Republicans (11 percent) have no opinion of him. So, Trump is both extremely well known and extremely disliked by the members of the party he is running to represent.
Unless that changes drastically, Trump has no shot at the nomination (but then again, we knew that already, yes?).