Toomey Leads Specter 48-36 (Rasmussen)
Arlen Specter switched parties to avoid being beaten by Pat Toomey in the Republican primary. A new Rasmussen poll finds Toomey would crush Specter 48 to 36 if the general election were held today. (Which, I always add, it won’t be.)
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Pennsylvania voters shows 48% would vote for Toomey if the election were held today. Just 36% would vote for Specter while four percent (4%) prefer a third option, and 12% are not sure.
These figures reflect a dramatic reversal since June. At that time, before the public health care debate began, Specter led Toomey by eleven.
Just 43% now have a favorable opinion of Specter while 54% offer an unfavorable assessment of the longtime GOP senator who became a Democrat rather than face Toomey in a party primary. Those numbers have reversed since June when 53% had a favorable opinion of him.
The current figures include 15% with a Very Favorable opinion of Specter and 36% with a Very Unfavorable view.
Now, it’s very, very early. The election is more than a year away and it’s almost absurd to even be talking about a Senate race at this point in the game. But 36 percent unfavorable is simply remarkable for a long-time incumbent. And to be trailing a relative nobody by 12 points before the campaigning even starts in earnest is truly unexpected; Specter quite reasonably expected that he’d win the Democratic nomination unopposed and walk to re-election. Neither of those are going to happen.
via Taegan Goddard