Whites Voted For Obama, Proving They’re Racist!
Larry Bartels examines the voting behavior of white Americans on Election Day and finds that, as he expected, we were very, very racist:
According to the exit polls, Obama outpolled the previous Democratic nominee, John Kerry, among people from small towns and rural areas and among gun owners. He also did better than Kerry among white males, white Protestants, and white evangelicals. In short, the culture clash seems to have fizzled among many of the people supposedly most alienated by the cosmopolitan bent of the contemporary Democratic Party.
[…]
Obama actually recorded some of his biggest gains among white voters in some of the most culturally conservative parts of the country. He outpolled Kerry by 6 to 10 percentage points among white voters in Indiana, North Dakota, Utah, Montana, Nebraska, and—yes—Thomas Frank’s Kansas. In contrast, exit polls recorded smaller gains for Obama among white voters in bastions of elitism like New York, Connecticut, and California.
[…]
The perception that white Americans succeeded in transcending racial antipathy is reinforced by the fact that only 9% of voters in the exit poll said that race was a major factor in their decision, and they mostly voted for Obama.
So, that’s a good thing, right? At least from the standpoint of race relations? I mean, here we have a clean, articulate African American with virtually no governing experience outperforming a white war hero with serious foreign policy chops and years in the United States Senate!
Not so fast, says Bartels.
[T]here is a good deal of circumstantial evidence suggesting that racial resentment eroded Obama’s support among white voters. His gains relative to Kerry were significantly smaller in states with large numbers of African-Americans—a pattern disguised in the overall vote totals by his strong support among African-Americans themselves. In the former Confederacy he gained only slightly over Kerry among white voters, despite making big gains in two key swing states, North Carolina and Virginia. The only states in the country in which he lost more than a point or two of white support were Louisiana, Alabama, Arkansas, and Mississippi.
Now, waitaminute. Obama gained among white voters even in nine of the thirteen states in the former Confederacy and this is evidence of white racism? (Whereas, of course, blacks turning out in record numbers to support the black guy is mere civic pride rather than racism.) Huh?
Did the exit polls ask any other questions than 1) Who did you vote for? and 2) What color are you? Because I’m guessing that there might be all manner of reasons that Obama fared worse than Kerry in those four states. Maybe there was differential turnout based on downballot issues and candidates? Maybe the “experience” issue resonated more deeply there? Maybe the Hillary Factor played more of a role there, especially in Arkansas? Maybe they perceived Obama as more liberal? Maybe there are more guys named Joe or more plumbers in those states?
Matt Yglesias adds,
Obama improved on John Kerry’s vote share by 4.2 percentage points. His share of the white vote, by contrast, went up by only two percentage points whereas his share of the African-American vote went up seven points and of the Hispanic vote by 14 points. In other words, there was more rather than less divergence in white and non-white voting behavior.
But “divergence” isn’t a measure of racism. Presumably, there were myriad factors that went into blacks voting for Obama in record numbers; surely, the historic nature of a serious black candidate for the presidency was at or near the top of the list, though. As for Hispanics, one presumes the “of color” thing played a role, along with immigration and other issues.
There were people who voted both for and against the tickets based on:
– Obama being black or being young
– McCain being old or being a POW
– Biden being Catholic
– Palin being a Pentacostal or being a woman
There will always be people whose vote is based upon stupidity rather than real issues. Unless it’s a huge number of people, the media needs to get over it.
It sounds like Mr.Bartels is smoking Pot,and calling the kettle black!
Yglesias is an embarassment to thinking rational liberals. He is one of those who think that any criticism of Obama is due to racism.
I gave up on him long ago.
Brief sketch of an alternative hypothesis: Obama did more poorly in southern states than Kerry because John Edwards was a southerner while Joe Biden (or at least his hair) is from Mars.
Challenge: test these two competing hypotheses.
Ok James, I gotta call you out on this one.
So what was it when year after year for 130+ yrs they turned out time after time (facing God only knows what, just for the right to vote) for the white guy? So you put blacks down for voting for a black guy who just happened to have been nominated for the highest office in the land despite the white hegemony that still exists within our 2 major parties?
I am a union carpenter… Ya wanta know how many black carpenters I have worked with over the years? Here’s a hint: take one hand, hold it up in the air, fold the thumb down… then divide by 2…. In the years since I graduated high school, I knpow I got at least 6 jobs simply because I was white…
I grew up in the 60’s and 70’s… in Missouri… more racist than Oxford MI… Racism didn’t end with the Voting Rights Act of ’64. I have seen the worst of both sides of racism (once got jumped by 17(?) (I didn’t exactly count them) blacks for walking thru the “black” door at the cafeteria at my school(Kirkwood High)) Yeah, you all know Kirkwood, MO, where Cookie Thornton walked into a City Hall meeting recently and blew away 5 city officials (and NO… I make no excuses for Cookie, he had serious psych problems)(tho I do salute his Marine Corps marksmanship). And no I did not know him, though I am sure I did pass him in the halls a time or 2 (I graduated in ’76, he in ’74). He was from Meachem Park, and it was a small, unincorporated, black enclave of St. Louis Co. that none of the surrounding cities wanted. You know what? I had a buddy who lived in Meachem Park in 1975, 1975…. and there was a substantial portion of the residents of Meachem Park who still did not have indoor plumbing at that time. I am not talking about country, I am talking about living in the middle of high end suburbia, and they were still sh*tting in outhouses. In the late 80’s(?) Kirkwood finally annexed Meachem Park… then promptly took half of it (1/3?) thru eminent domain turning it into a Wal-Mart and a Lowes, and high end Condo’s. And Meachem Park got indoor plumbing. Ya wanta know how many blacks now work at the Wal-Mart and the Lowes? You really wanta know?
My point is this: Racism did not go away with the Civil Rights Act… It didn’t go away with Carter or Clinton… It is right here and now. And if you do not see it’s legacy, it is only because you willingly choose to ignore the ramifications of it which still reverberate through our socity.
I do not blame blacks for voting for a black man for Preseident of the United States of America. I never thought I would see they day when it would even be possible.
Imagine, for a moment, how they felt.
from “The Value Voters Blog”
Impact of racism still being felt, indeed.
You’ve explained why it may be understandable that blacks would vote for Obama for racial reasons, but if they voted for him for reasons of race then it is still being racist. Anyone, black or white, voting for Obama for other reasons, like political issues, are not being racist.
When all you have is a hammer everything looks like a nail. Yglesias and Bartels are so mirred in seeing things through race tinted glasses they can’t imagine anything other than a Racist America.
I find my respect of Yglesias is a decreasing function of time. The more time goes by the more he writes and the more stupid things he writes. Funny, it is usually the opposite, that as people gain in experience they come to appreciate the subtleties and gray areas of life.
Indeed Rodney, but it only underlines my larger point that racism is not dead in this country by any means. I have never argued that blacks are incapable of racism, just that they have a reason, and those reasons are not in the deep dark recesses of our shared history, they are in the here and now. Until we face the here and now, we can never truly bury the past.
I know of several whites who voted for Obama despite the fact that he is black… They just could not imagine voting for another 4 years of GWB. Time will tell if those of us who voted for Obama were right or wrong. I will say this: If Obama runs a competent administration, he will be re-elected. That may sound like a pretty low bar, but GWB set it.