Why Sharron Angle Still Has A Chance

Despite her mis-steps, Sharron Angle still has a shot at beating Harry Reid in November

Despite her slipping poll numbers, the fact that she won’t answer press questions, and her verbal gaffes, Sharron Angle is still well positioned to beat Harry Reid in November.

Why ?

Because the people inclined to vote for her are very inclined to vote:

(CNN) – Voter turnout could be crucial in the battle between Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and his Republican challenger, Sharron Angle, and a new poll indicates that Republican voters in the state are more energized than their Democratic counterparts.

According to a Reuters/Ipsos survey of Nevada voters released Tuesday, 81 percent of Republicans say they are certain to vote on November 2, 17 points higher than the 64 percent of Democrats who say they’ll vote in the midterm elections.

The poll indicates that Reid leads Angle 48 to 44 percent among likely voters. Among the larger poll of registered voters, Reid holds a 52 to 36 percent advantage.

“He (Reid) is well within her striking distance,” says Ipsos pollster Julia Clark. “I think this one will go down to the wire and it will absolutely depend on turnout.”

Which means that, over the next three months, we are going to see both sides appealing mostly to their bases, and that means that this is likely to turn in to a knock-down-drag-out fight.

Get the popcorn. It’s gonna be fun.

FILED UNDER: Campaign 2010, Congress, US Politics, , ,
Doug Mataconis
About Doug Mataconis
Doug holds a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May 2010. Before joining OTB, he wrote at Below The BeltwayThe Liberty Papers, and United Liberty Follow Doug on Twitter | Facebook

Comments

  1. David Elliott says:

    Yes, Sharron Angle is likely to win as she did against an incumbent for the legislature. She has organized a ground force to go door to door to every Republican and independent voter, and it is already well under way. She won by going door to door before. The anger agains Harry Reid is palpable as anybody from the state will tell you. A media campaign that misrepresents or outright lies about her has only strengthened determination and opposition to Harry. In this anti-incumbenet, anti-Democrat, and anti-establishment year she will win the election, just like she won the primary–against all odds.

  2. An Interested Party says:

    “A media campaign that misrepresents or outright lies about her has only strengthened determination and opposition to Harry.”
    What misrepresentations or lies have been told about her?

  3. ponce says:

    The people of eastern Washington State exchanged Speaker of the House Tom Foley for political zero George Nethercutt back in 1984.
    Will the people of Nevada really choose to be represented by a ditz instead of the second most powerful man in Washington D.C.?
     

  4. […] Why Sharron Angle Still Has A Chance (outsidethebeltway.com) […]