Why Andrew Sullivan Will Dump Obama in 2012
Patrick Appel reveals an interesting pattern about his boss, Andrew Sullivan:
Look at the presidential nominees Andrew has supported since coming to the country: Reagan, Bush I, Clinton, Dole, Bush II, Kerry, Obama.
Andrew came here from England in 1984 after winning a Harkness Fellowship to Harvard’s John F. Kennedy School of Government. He has not supported the same man twice.
Reagan was ineligible to run again in 1988, so supporting his vice president, George H.W. Bush, is as close as he could have come. But he didn’t want to re-elect Bush, going with Bill Clinton instead. He then tired of Clinton and backed Dole. He supported George W. Bush in 2000 but not in 2004. He was for Obama in 2008.
The pattern could change, of course. He’s genuinely disgusted with the Republican Party at this point. But, if they nominate a palatable candidate, there’s a strong, strong likelihood that Andrew will endorse him rather than going with Obama a second time.