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Obama’s Approval Numbers Continue To Fall

As the summer of non-recovery goes on, and the American political process continues it’s obsession with silly issues like the fate of a former Burlington Coat Factory location, President Obama’s approval numbers seem to have started on an accelerating downward trend that could portend very bad things for Democrats in November:

President Barack Obama’s approval rating has dipped to a new low in the latest Gallup poll.

Obama’s 44 percent average approval in Gallup’s daily tracking polls last week marks the weakest level of support he has registered since taking office.

His weekly average had been holding steady at 45 percent approval in recent weeks.

Additionally, the share of Americans who disapprove of the president’s job performance reached 50 percent for the first time over the three-day stretch of Aug. 13-15.

The drop can likely be attributed to the loss of independents. Obama’s approval rating among independents now stands at 39 percent, down 4 points from June. Obama began his presidency with the support 74 percent of independents.

Eighty percent of Democrats still approve of the president’s job performance, down only 2 percent from June.

Obama?s numbers among Republicans have also remained relatively constant as only 12 percent approve of his performance, the same level from this April.

The chart itself looks like something that would make a stock analyst sick:

And, the Pollster poll averages show that, sometime in May, things started turning badly for the President and they’re just getting worse:

Add to this two numbers that should scare the heck out of any Democrat running for office this November — both the Gallup and Rasmussen Generic Congressional ballots show Republicans with the largest lead yet.

All of this is due to the economy, of course, and given the fact that there’s no reason to believe that there were be any appreciable change in things like the unemployment rate between now and November 2nd, it’s easy to see that things could get much worse for the President and his party before they get better.

Will it necessarily lead to a Republican take over of one or both Houses of Congress ? I’m still not convinced of that, and it’s entirely possible that the GOP may be peaking too early. However, between the economy and the “Ground Zero mosque” demagougary from person’s such as Newt Gingrich, it would seem that things are not in the President’s favor right now.

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About Doug Mataconis
Doug holds a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May, 2010 and also writes at Below The Beltway. Follow Doug on Twitter | Facebook

Comments

  1. john personna says:

    I’d feel a lot better if Obama were losing to a well-argued and rational alternative vision. Obama vs. WFB, if you will. That politics seem to be tipping on the “Ground Zero mosque” just makes me feel sad all over.

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  2. Dave Schuler says:

    I’d feel a lot better if Obama were losing to a well-argued and rational alternative vision.

    Who wouldn’t? We elect the politicians we’ve got rather than those we might wish to have.

    Meanwhile, there are Democratic advisors, e.g. Donna Brazile on ABC’s This Week who are proposing a “Hail Mary”: November is still a few months away and the economy might pick up by then. With Democrats like that it’s no wonder that “generic Republican” is polling better.

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  3. G.A.Phillips says:

    ***I’d feel a lot better if Obama were losing to a well-argued and rational alternative vision.*** lol, see Paul Ryan……..or Glen Beck,,,,,,,,, :) America is awake bro, and becoming educated…

    ***Meanwhile, there are Democratic advisors, e.g. Donna Brazile on ABC’s This Week who are proposing a “Hail Mary”: November is still a few months away and the economy might pick up by then. With Democrats like that it’s no wonder that “generic Republican” is polling better.***

    lol, yup, and seeing that unemployment is really like 16 to 17 percent and the economy just keeps getting worse as more money is overtly wasted on the few super powerful special interest unions for votes good luck with all of that……

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  4. daveinboca says:

    If Michelle Obama enters the fray to help her hapless hubby, maybe she’ll answer the question why she “resigned” her Illinois bar license in 1993, something Bill Clinton was forced to do for lying under oath. Wonder what crime or misdemeanor Michelle committed, of course, that didn’t stop her from getting a six-figure job at the U. of Chicago where her “constitutional law professor” hubby was rejected as an adjunct professor unanimously for lack of credentials until the Board of Regents demanded he be given office space, even without a salary….. And Michelle might also be asked, were there any real journalists around, what convicted-felon Bernardine Dohrn mentored her about at Sidley Austin back in the ’80s, besides recommending Bill Ayers to Michelle’s hubby Barry as a ghost writer…..!

    These two grifters are ONLY BEGINNING to be exposed as the frauds that the MSM aided and abetted in their bolshie frenzy to disenfranchise “flyover country” and turn the country over to East Coast sewer rats and West Coast cockroaches…!

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  5. john personna says:

    Well Dave, I’ve worried that the second part, the economy, can fall to the same sort of superstitious tribalism. It’s one thing if you are buying a coherent alternate vision, another if you are just saying “the chief has lost faith of the gods, replace him.” At least we don’t throw him in the volcano anymore.

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  6. sam says:

    “If Michelle Obama enters the fray to help her hapless hubby, maybe she’ll answer the question why she “resigned” her Illinois bar license in 1993″

    Bullshit, if that is meant to imply some malfeasance. See, Taking License, Snopes, http://www.snopes.com/politics/obama/lawlicenses.asp:

    Information about the statuses of both and Michelle and Barack Obama’s licenses is readily retrievable, both show no record of any disciplinary actions or pending proceedings, and the elapsed time for searches we performed on their information was comparable to that for searches on information about other names in the Illinois ARDC database.

    (The “Malpractice Insurance” section of Michelle Obama’s license information which includes a notation about her being on “court ordered inactive status” is not, as commonly misinterpreted, an indication of any wrongdoing on her part. That terminology is used simply because prior to the end of 1999, the Illinois ARDC rules required “a proceeding in the Court for any voluntary transfer to inactive status, whether because of some incapacitating condition or solely as a matter of the lawyer’s preference because the lawyer would not be practicing law.”)

    See the whole article for a thorough debunking of this crap and links to the appropriate Illinois state websites. You guys are just plain pathetic.

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  7. anjin-san says:

    > the economy just keeps getting worse

    Actually, the economy has improved quite a bit since Obama took office, which is not to say that we still don’t have a long way to go.

    But why not support your premise? Tell us exactly how the economy is “getting worse”…

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  8. Juneau: says:

    @ Mataconis

    “I’m still not convinced of that, and it’s entirely possible that the GOP may be peaking too early”

    Heh. There are only about 70 days to go before the mid-terms and everything that smells like a donkey is tanking hard. To the liberals on OTB; this stage of the grieving process is called “Denial” …

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  9. G.A.Phillips says:

    ***The economy just keeps getting worse***

    Anjin buddy, um ***seeing that unemployment is really like 16 to 17 percent***

    Food stamps are at an all time high, there are no jobs, and we waste billions of dollars a day that we don’t have, what would possibly indicate to you that the economy is getting better and not worse?

    Don’t even get me started with some Obama facts or the facts of his media, I know what the definition is is.

    ***These two grifters are ONLY BEGINNING to be exposed as the frauds that the MSM aided and abetted in their bolshie frenzy to disenfranchise “flyover country” and turn the country over to East Coast sewer rats and West Coast cockroaches…!*** beautiful man just beautiful :)

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