Clinton And Sanders Tied In Nevada?

One of the first polls out of Nevada in six weeks purports to show Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders tied in Nevada just about a week before that state’s Democratic caucuses:

A Washington Free Beacon/TargetPoint Consulting poll released Friday shows between Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sander (I-VT) in Nevada. It’s the first poll conducted in the state this year.

The poll showed support for Clinton and Sanders tied at 45 percent of respondents.

This is the first poll of Democratic voters in the state by this pollster, as well as the first conducted there since December. Most previous polling showed Clinton holding a double-digit lead in the state, indicating a collapse in her support consistent with the rapid tightening of the race following Clinton’s narrow win in Iowa and substantial loss in New Hampshire.

As noted, there has been no polling in Nevada since before the end of last year, and very little before that, so it’s hard to tell if this is an outlier or and indication of just how much things have changed since Gravis polled there and found Clinton with a twenty-three point lead. Presumably, we’ll start to see other polls of the race in the coming days so we should get a better idea of what’s going on, and whether the Clinton campaign now has something to worry about in Nevada.

FILED UNDER: 2016 Election, US Politics, , , , ,
Doug Mataconis
About Doug Mataconis
Doug Mataconis held a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May 2010 and contributed a staggering 16,483 posts before his retirement in January 2020. He passed far too young in July 2021.


  1. al-Ameda says:

    So far, in small-population state America, Democrats are ambivalent about voting for Hillary. I’d sure like to see how this plays out in a populous state.

  2. Moosebreath says:


    Also, Nevada is a caucus state, which favors Hillary, especially with her having the backing of the big unions in the state.

  3. charon says:
  4. gVOR08 says:


    Recently several news organizations have reported that the FBI could indict Hillary Clinton over her handling of her email server. How concerned are you that she could actually face such an indictment?

    Oh yeah, push poll. And they have a page of campaign logos on their web page, all GOPs as far as I recognize them. Thank you.

    Last few days I’ve heard two or three different commentators say that no reputable firm polls Nevada because no one has a turnout model that’s any good, so they’d just destroy their reputations by trying.

  5. charon says:


    Thanks for the attaboy, nice to see this thread is not dead.

  6. PJ says:

    Doug, seriously, either you have no clue what “The Washington Free Beacon” is and who the founders are or you somehow decide that it’s not important. Because, I don’t have to even look at the poll before huge wailing sirens go off in my head just from reading the name….

    What’s next? Breitbart polls?

  7. Andre Kenji says:

    Hillary just has to show Sanders going to Lou Dobbs after voting against Immigration Reform in 2007 to win Nevada.

  8. ivyleaguer says:

    it’s already been reported that the poll is phony. commissioned by a Republican news agency that sells anti Hillary clinton merchandise on their site and conducted by a Republican policy firm that has done NO other polling, like ever, not even on Republicans. Shame on you for reporting this