Liz Cheney Trailing Mike Enzi By 53 Points

Liz Cheney’s effort to unseat Senator Mike Enzi in next year’s Wyoming GOP Primary doesn’t seem to be going well:

Liz Cheney’s support has faded in Wyoming since the summer, according to internal polling conducted for a super PAC that’s been running ads against her and shared exclusively with POLITICO.

Sen. Mike Enzi (R) has expanded his lead over the former vice president’s daughter by 12 points among likely primary voters since August. The three-term incumbent was up 52 points, 69 percent to 17 percent, in a survey conducted by Bob Wickers of The Wickers Group at the end of October.

The same pollster using the same methodology found Enzi ahead by 40 points, 61 percent to 21 percent, in the last week of August.

In the summer, Cheney was viewed favorably by 42 percent of likely primary voters and unfavorably by 24 percent. At the end of October, she was viewed favorably by 29 percent and unfavorably by 37 percent.

There’s been very little polling in Wyoming so it’s unclear whether this poll is accurate or an outlier, but it does seem to reflect the fact that Enzi is immensely popular in his home state and that Cheney has not gone over well at all. Of course, as David Weigel notes, one of the reasons that Cheney seems to have sunk in the polls seems to be attributable to the fact that a conservative PAC has been running ads in the state accusing her of being “woobly” on same-sex marriage even though she has stated more than once that she opposes it. In any case, though, it seems that Dick Cheney’s daughter faces a rather daunting task.

FILED UNDER: 2014 Election, Congress, US Politics, , , , , , , ,
Doug Mataconis
About Doug Mataconis
Doug Mataconis held a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May 2010 and contributed a staggering 16,483 posts before his retirement in January 2020. He passed far too young in July 2021.

Comments

  1. Neil Hudelson says:

    Woobly?

    Eh, it’s a welcome vocabulary break from the worn out “flip flop.”

  2. Franklin says:

    one of the reasons that Cheney seems to have sunk in the polls seems to be attributable to the fact that a conservative PAC has been running ads in the state accusing her of being “woobly” on same-sex marriage

    Oh, not conservative enough? I would have hoped she was tanking due to the fact that she is just as insane as her dad.

  3. C. Clavin says:

    If I believed in god I would pray to her that this will be the last we see of the Cheney’s.

  4. Amos Jones says:

    Good. May her support fall into the single digits.
    I despise people who make a living on their parent’s name.
    Kennedy, Bush, Cheney, whatever.
    That the Cheney’s, as a family, appear to be particularly despicable only makes it worse.

  5. Ron Beasley says:

    This is real good news. She is probably the most vile member of a really vile family.

  6. PJ says:

    Now, I don’t doubt that Cheney is trailing Enzi, that’s she’s far behind, and that’s she’s not going to win.

    But.

    Liz Cheney’s support has faded in Wyoming since the summer, according to internal polling conducted for a super PAC that’s been running ads against her and shared exclusively with POLITICO.

    It’s an internal poll done by a group that is against her, which makes it worthless.

  7. Gustopher says:

    Now, now, your headline is exaggerating things. You claim she’s trailing by 53 points, but the article you quote says she’s behind by a mere 52 points. It’s a world of difference — why a good ground game and some kind of biblical plague upon her opponent’s voters can wipe out a paltry 52 point deficit.

  8. Gustopher says:

    one of the reasons that Cheney seems to have sunk in the polls seems to be attributable to the fact that a conservative PAC has been running ads in the state accusing her of being “woobly” on same-sex marriage even though she has stated more than once that she opposes it.

    Perhaps if her sister campaigned with her, telling the world that Liz does not support her marriage, and does not ever refer to her wife by that word (or perhaps even by name), voters would be won over. Someone who is so opposed to marriage equality that they will turn on their family — that’s dedication, and that’s someone who should represent Wyoming!

    What a horrible, horrible person Liz Cheney is. I would love to be a fly on the wall at a Cheney family Thanksgiving. No, maybe they should make a TV special of it so we can all enjoy it.

  9. PJ says:

    @Gustopher:

    You claim she’s trailing by 53 points, but the article you quote says she’s behind by a mere 52 points. It’s a world of difference — why a good ground game and some kind of biblical plague upon her opponent’s voters can wipe out a paltry 52 point deficit.

    While I really haven’t read a lot about about the Wyoming primary, I doubt that she’s behind by 50 points. My guess is that the true result is outside of this polls margin of error, and that the Super PAC chose to release this because the result is very bad for her.

    Because what can the Cheney campaign do? Release it’s own (with the true result also outside the margin of error) internal poll showing Cheney only behind by 15-30 points?

    Whether she’s behind 20 or 50 points, she’s done.

  10. bandit says:

    Hataz gotta hate

  11. gVOR08 says:

    @Ron Beasley:

    She is probably the most vile member of a really vile family.

    Can’t agree. I expect she’d like to be, but she just doesn’t have her father’s considerable talent and skill at being an asshat. I can’t name a single country she’s caused us to invade. I know of no one she’s had tortured.

    Paul Krugman had this nailed five years ago. Dick Cheney is a monster.

  12. Pinky says:

    @Gustopher: (Note: This data is based on telephone interviews with 4,200 birds which may or may not have occured over a 5-day period. The margin of error is +/-100 percentage points.)

  13. JWH says:

    a conservative PAC has been running ads in the state accusing her of being “woobly” on same-sex marriage even though she has stated more than once that she opposes it

    That may have made things awkward at her sister’s wedding …

  14. anjin-san says:

    You claim she’s trailing by 53 points, but the article you quote says she’s behind by a mere 52 points.

    I think we all know the polls are rigged…

  15. Steve says:

    The Cheney’s, Dick and Liz are great Americans and we desperately need more people like them. If anyone thinks that the Cheney’s are vile, it only shows that they, themselves are vile.

  16. Steve says:

    @Ron Beasley: You sir, are an azz. The Cheney’s are good decent people that are much needed in America. We need such people to counter such jerks as you.