Obama Leads Sarah Palin By 22 Points In New Poll

A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll would seem to indicate that President Obama has little to worry from the top tier of potential challengers at the moment:

Looking ahead to the 2012 presidential race, the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows Obama leading prominent Republicans in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups.

Against Romney, the lead is seven points, 47 percent to 40 percent. Against Palin, it’s 22 points, 55 percent to 33 percent. And against Sen. John Thune, R-S.D. — another potential presidential candidate, though not as well known — it’s 20 points, 47 percent to 27 percent.

And in a generic match-up, with respondents asked to choose between voting to re-elect Obama or his Republican opponent, Obama leads by three points, 42 percent to 39 percent, with an additional 10 percent saying it depends who the GOP opponent is.

With Palin trailing Obama by 22 points — and with her negative rating now at 50 percent, her all-time high in the poll — McInturff says that this is “a sobering starting point” for her if she decides to run for president.

Gee, do ya think?

With numbers like this, and unfavorable numbers that remain historically high, any Republican who supports Sarah Palin for the 2012 nomination just needs to admit to themselves that they don’t care about winning.

FILED UNDER: 2012 Election, US Politics, , , , , ,
Doug Mataconis
About Doug Mataconis
Doug Mataconis held a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May 2010 and contributed a staggering 16,483 posts before his retirement in January 2020. He passed far too young in July 2021.

Comments

  1. Patrick T. McGuire says:

    So if she consistently polls so badly, why do they continue to poll her?

  2. G.A.Phillips says:

    Hey Doug did you see how well she handled that shootgun vs. a moving target? lol…….must not be your kind of Palin peace.

  3. Because she continues to assert herself as a force in the Republican Party and is probably going to run for President, perhaps?

    Hey, if she were to go back north, shoot cariboiu, and hang out with Kate Gosselin for the rest of her life I’d have no reason to even think about her

  4. g-a-y r-i-n-o says:

    Charles Johnson alert!!!!!!

  5. g-a-y r-i-n-o says:

    GA,

    The only topics dicsussed here are Palin hating and promoting homosexuality

    BTW…9.8%

  6. g-a-y r-i-n-o says:

    “So if she consistently polls so badly, why do they continue to poll her?”

    Because the MSM are scared she will win b/c the economy will be 10x worse two years from now.

    So they come up with bogus polling data and the athiests buy it

    You really think RomneyCare polls 15 points better than Palin??? C’mon man

  7. An Interested Party says:

    “Because the MSM are scared she will win b/c the economy will be 10x worse two years from now.”

    Please…the only people who are scared that she will run are Repubicans/conservatives/libertarians who actually want a Republican to win the presidency in 2012…

  8. g-a-y r-i-n-o says:

    “Please…the only people who are scared that she will run are Repubicans/conservatives/libertarians who actually want a Republican to win the presidency in 2012…”

    Funny, I say the same thing about Romneycare

  9. An Interested Party says:

    Oh, you needn’t worry….Romney won’t win either…

  10. Kylopod says:

    Has any candidate with poll numbers that bad gone on to win the nomination of a major party? I somehow doubt it. Nixon was widely disliked, but did he have like a 50% disapproval rating in 1966 or 1967? I’m not sure they took polls addressing that question back then, but if they did, I’d be surprised that even he would have had anything close to Palin-like numbers.

  11. wr says:

    If she was hanging out with the caribou and shooting Kate Gosselin, she might get my vote.

  12. G.A.Phillips says:

    ***You must’ve missed that GA:** no I commented on that one, her tearing the crap out of a moving bear target is from the latest episode.

  13. Smooth Jazz says:

    Gee, you think a poll that oversamples Dems by 10 points – when all recent polls shows Reps and Dems close to even – may be an outlier??? Of course, this feeds your “Palin cannot Win” narrative, so you are having a good day so far. But remember, 2012 is still 2 years away and a lot can happen between now and then to change the dynamic (eg her choice of a running mate, her performance on the stump, etc). No, she is not going to listen to snotty elites and crawl back into her igloo because people like you can predict the future with certainty. She is going to do this HER way.

  14. anjin-san says:

    > Gee, you think a poll that oversamples Dems by 10 points

    Yes, we all know about the pro Democrat bias at WSJ

    > She is going to do this HER way.

    Making a lot of money for HERself…

    If you see the car with the “Sarah’s Bitch” bumper sticker and hear Kenny G. on the sound system you will know you have found smooth…

  15. Kylopod says:

    The idea that this poll is an “outlier” is laughable. Palin has polled with a consistently high negative approval rating that has grown steadily worse over time, even though she’s done an enormous amount of self-promotion:

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/07/13/fav-palin_n_725513.html

    I’ve never heard of a candidate with such high negative approval going on to reach the presidency. I don’t think it’s ever happened before. The only reason Palin is considered viable in the primaries at all is the lack of any clearly strong alternative.

  16. Zelsdorf Ragshaft III says:

    Doug, will you show the video of your head exploding when the inaugerate Sarah Palin the next President of the Untied States? She is your worst nightmare. Get ready for it.

  17. kenatipo says:

    I would like to comment about the discussion the other day, mostly about the Branchflower Report. Kylopod, jukeboxgrad and Louis Wheeler were involved. Someone asked “Why did SP claim Branchflower found no ethics or legal problem when in fact he did?” My take is that SP was speaking to the main issue, which was the removal of Moneghan. Branchflower found that she was within her authority to remove Moneghan (after offering him a transfer) and that there was no ethical or legal breach there.
    The other question discussed was whether Branchflower had any authority or jurisdiction. I believe the fact that Branchflower found an “abuse of power” by SP but did not recommend a criminal investigation or any kind of sanction shows that he (the Legislative Council) had no authority to do so, and therefore no jurisdiction.
    The real authority here is the State of Alaska Personnel Board and they found “no probable cause” to indicate ethics violations by SP. So in the end SP is right: there was no ethics or legal breach and she was completely vindicated. (The liberal lamestream media didn’t quite spin it that way, though, did they? That includes the Anchorage Daily News, by the way — they endorsed Knowles and Obama).

  18. An Interested Party says:

    “But remember, 2012 is still 2 years away and a lot can happen between now and then to change the dynamic (eg her choice of a running mate, her performance on the stump, etc).”

    Short of Jesus Christ, who could she possibly choose as a running mate to change the dynamic? And if past performance is any indication, her potential future performance on the stump will not be helping her…

    “She is going to do this HER way.”

    Ahh, but then who will she blame when she loses? Katie Couric, perhaps…

    “Doug, will you show the video of your head exploding when the inaugerate Sarah Palin the next President of the Untied States?”

    A person really shouldn’t use the funds from his unemployment check to buy mind-altering drugs, otherwise he is prone to having delusions like the one above…