Voters Not Eager To See Mike Bloomberg Run In 2012
Despite the play that it’s gotten among the punditocracy, the idea of New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg running for President isn’t generating much excitement among voters:
Massive amounts of attention have been given over the last few years to a possible Michael Bloomberg Presidential run in 2012. And a new PPP poll finds that he is indeed a unifier- Democrats, Republicans, and independents all don’t like him.
Only 19% of Americans expressed a favorable opinion of Bloomberg on our most recent national poll while 38% said they see him unfavorably. That -19 favorability spread makes him more unpopular than Barack Obama, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, and even Sarah Palin and places him slightly ahead of only Newt Gingrich. Republicans are the most negative toward him, giving him a 12/48 favorability. Independents weigh in at 19/37, and only Democrats even come close to rating him positively with 24% saying they have a favorable opinion of him to 30% with a negative one.
Tested in a hypothetical three way contest with Barack Obama and Mitt Romney Bloomberg registers at only 11% with Obama getting 44% and Romney 38%. Bloomberg does decently with independents, getting 22%. But he has very little appeal to partisans- only 6% of Democrats say they would vote for him, less even than Romney’s 8%, and just 9% of Republicans say he’d receive their support.
Interestingly, the poll indicates that a Bloomberg candidacy would hurt a Republican candidate more than it would hurt PResident Obama:
Asked who they would support in a head to head between Obama and Romney, 50% of Bloomberg’s supporters say Romney to only 21% for Obama. As a result that gives Obama a 6 point lead in a three way with Romney when it’s only a single point in a head to head. Obama’s approval rating with the Bloomberg voters is just 22%. Bloomberg seems to be drawing support from voters who don’t much care either for Obama or for the GOP- and that’s a group that skewed strongly toward the Republicans in this year’s election.
As I suspected, the only people who seem eager to see Mike Bloomberg run for President are the pundits who take the Acela between New York and Washington.