Obama Gets Osama Approval Rating Bump
Steven L. Taylor
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Wednesday, May 4, 2011
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5 comments
Via the NYT: For Obama, Big Rise in Poll Numbers After Bin Laden Raid
In all, 57 percent said they now approved of the president’s job performance, up from 46 percent last month.
Of course, this is hardly a surprise, and is likely ephemeral. A comparative stat:
The president’s job approval rating rose 11 points, compared with an 8-point increase for President George W. Bush after the capture of Saddam Hussein in December 2003. Mr. Bush’s bump evaporated within a month.
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored
A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog).
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RAS: 48/51
OUCH!
It’s a poll from the NY Times. Hardly a non-bias cross section of opinion.
http://flapsblog.com/2011/05/04/president-2012-poll-watch-still-no-bounce-in-polls-for-obama-since-bin-laden-killed/
“Of course, this is hardly a surprise, and is likely ephemeral.”
I’m not so sure about that one…
II’d argue that the killing of Bin Laden permanently alters Obama’s prestige as president in ways that won’t show up in the day-to-day fluctuations of public opinion polls.
Another comparative stat: Bush was re-elected in 04.
@Herb:
I agree it will have a long-term effect.
The 11-point bump, however, will be ephemeral.