A Rebooted Race II

A fresh choice provides room for movement.

A Rebooted Race

We’re back to Square 1.

Polls, Damn Polls, and Aggregators

There’s something for everyone in the post-debate surveys.

Polls Continue Trumpward Shift

The slide continues.

Post-Debate Polling Trends

The changes are minor but in the wrong direction for the guy who’s behind.

More Post-Debate Polling

More polling that contradicts the panic.

More Data

Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose.

Trump Leads Biden Going into Tonight’s Debate

He’s doing better in all the swing states but one than in 2020.

Political Polling in the Trump Era

The professionals are striving to keep up with changing voter habits.

Biden and Trump Voters Have Different Concerns

After ‘the economy,’ the two diverge wildly on their top priorities.

Will Trump Leaners Come Home to Biden?

The weirdness of this year’s polling gives the President’s team hope.

President Joe Biden, Oval Office, 4 April 2024 President Joe Biden, Oval Office, 4 April 2024

Biden’s Unpopularity

He isn’t very popular.

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Is Political Polling Still Useful?

Compared to any available alternative, yes.

Split Polls

Presidential v. senatorial polling in swings states is just, well, odd.

Worry Polarization

Americans are concerned about very different things.

Politics, Memory, and Reality

Americans look back more fondly on the Trump economy than they did in 2020.

Biden Has Lowest Approval in History, Should Still Win

A famed political forecaster doesn’t believe the polls.

Faith In Democracy on the Decline

People around the world are more skeptical about governing institutions.

Age Inversion in American Politics?

Suddenly, old voters are aligning Democrat and young ones Republican.

If Inflation is Down, Why Are Prices Up?

Shockingly, most people aren’t economists.

Stupid Poll Tricks

Two data points are not a trend.

A Modest Racial Realignment

Explaining the inexplicable.

The Republican News Bubble

We’re entitled to our own facts.

Shocking Headline of the Day

Mo’ money, less problems.

The Old Man and the Felon

Turning 80 and being charged with a felony are equally disqualifying.

Foreign Policy Tops American Priorities!

A misleading survey result.

Where The Gays Are

A breakdown of new survey data.

Trump’s Outrageous Statements Helpful With Republican Base

Shocking if unsurprising poll results.

President Joe Biden in the Oval Office of the White House, Monday, October 9, 2023. President Joe Biden in the Oval Office of the White House, Monday, October 9, 2023.

Biden Approval at Record Low

He’s at 61 percent disapproval in the lastest Monmouth poll.

Fake Nikki Haley Boomlet Continues

The media’s favorite Republican is doing better in some polls than the other candidates losing to Trump.

Why Americans Are So Anxious About Inflation

Prices are way up, even though the CPI is back under control.

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Americans No Longer Believe in the American Dream

Most no longer believe it’s possible to get ahead through hard work.

President Joe Biden boards Marine One at the Wall Street Landing Zone in Manhattan, Wednesday, September 20, 2023 en route to JFK International Airport in Queens, New York. The Statue of Liberty can be seen in the background. President Joe Biden boards Marine One at the Wall Street Landing Zone in Manhattan, Wednesday, September 20, 2023 en route to JFK International Airport in Queens, New York. The Statue of Liberty can be seen in the background.

Old Man Biden and Young Would-Be Voters

The President has tepid support in the 18-29 demographic.

A Few Thoughts on the Election and Poll Interpretation

And, not surprisingly, about parties.

The Polls Are Skewed!

Survey research is not without flaws. But we dismiss it at our peril.

Swing State Voters Prefer Trump

Bidenomics is dragging Biden’s approval.

Stupid Poll Tricks

Or, if you prefer, stupid headline tricks.

President Joe Biden meets with leaders of his federal emergency preparedness and response team, cabinet and staff members for a briefing on hurricane, wildfire and extreme weather preparedness, Wednesday, May 31, 2023, in the Roosevelt Room of the White House. President Joe Biden meets with leaders of his federal emergency preparedness and response team, cabinet and staff members for a briefing on hurricane, wildfire and extreme weather preparedness, Wednesday, May 31, 2023, in the Roosevelt Room of the White House.

Why Doesn’t Biden Get More Credit?

Some people say there’s a reporter to blame.

Trump Has Huge Lead With Those Who Won’t Vote

Oh, the irony.

More Stupid Poll Tricks

Corrupt and crazy versus old and confused.

Stupid Polling Tricks

Americans don’t want either Trump or Biden! Film at 11.

Indictments Are Hurting Trump

The people want a fast trial and think he’s guilty and should go to jail.

Vice President Kamala Harris participates in a meeting on Native American Voting Rights Tuesday, July 27, 2021, in the Vice President’s Ceremonial Office in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building at the White House. Vice President Kamala Harris participates in a meeting on Native American Voting Rights Tuesday, July 27, 2021, in the Vice President’s Ceremonial Office in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building at the White House.

Kamala Harris Taking Leading Role in 2024 Campaign

A counterintuitive move.

Public Confidence in Military Lowest in Decades

There has been a steady decline the last five years.

Could Trump Really Be President Again?

It’s not nearly as far-fetched as most of us would like to believe.

The Two-Income Trap

It’s just as possible to live on one income as it was in 1970. But not really.

Americans Becoming More Socially Conservative?

Gallup’s annual Values and Beliefs survey has some interesting results.

The Threat of Political Violence

Separating rhetoric from action.

Young Men Becoming More Right-Wing?

Some interesting (and potentially disturbing) polling trends.