Where The Gays Are

A breakdown of new survey data.

Trump’s Outrageous Statements Helpful With Republican Base

Shocking if unsurprising poll results.

President Joe Biden in the Oval Office of the White House, Monday, October 9, 2023. President Joe Biden in the Oval Office of the White House, Monday, October 9, 2023.

Biden Approval at Record Low

He’s at 61 percent disapproval in the lastest Monmouth poll.

Fake Nikki Haley Boomlet Continues

The media’s favorite Republican is doing better in some polls than the other candidates losing to Trump.

Why Americans Are So Anxious About Inflation

Prices are way up, even though the CPI is back under control.

The free high-resolution photo of water, fence, neighborhood, green, color, fencing, blue, neighbour, neighbor, picket fences , taken with an Canon EOS 5D 03/04 2017 The picture taken with 50.0mm, f/1.4s, 1/8000s, ISO 320 The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. The free high-resolution photo of water, fence, neighborhood, green, color, fencing, blue, neighbour, neighbor, picket fences , taken with an Canon EOS 5D 03/04 2017 The picture taken with 50.0mm, f/1.4s, 1/8000s, ISO 320 The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0.

Americans No Longer Believe in the American Dream

Most no longer believe it’s possible to get ahead through hard work.

President Joe Biden boards Marine One at the Wall Street Landing Zone in Manhattan, Wednesday, September 20, 2023 en route to JFK International Airport in Queens, New York. The Statue of Liberty can be seen in the background. President Joe Biden boards Marine One at the Wall Street Landing Zone in Manhattan, Wednesday, September 20, 2023 en route to JFK International Airport in Queens, New York. The Statue of Liberty can be seen in the background.

Old Man Biden and Young Would-Be Voters

The President has tepid support in the 18-29 demographic.

A Few Thoughts on the Election and Poll Interpretation

And, not surprisingly, about parties.

The Polls Are Skewed!

Survey research is not without flaws. But we dismiss it at our peril.

Swing State Voters Prefer Trump

Bidenomics is dragging Biden’s approval.

Stupid Poll Tricks

Or, if you prefer, stupid headline tricks.

President Joe Biden meets with leaders of his federal emergency preparedness and response team, cabinet and staff members for a briefing on hurricane, wildfire and extreme weather preparedness, Wednesday, May 31, 2023, in the Roosevelt Room of the White House. President Joe Biden meets with leaders of his federal emergency preparedness and response team, cabinet and staff members for a briefing on hurricane, wildfire and extreme weather preparedness, Wednesday, May 31, 2023, in the Roosevelt Room of the White House.

Why Doesn’t Biden Get More Credit?

Some people say there’s a reporter to blame.

Trump Has Huge Lead With Those Who Won’t Vote

Oh, the irony.

More Stupid Poll Tricks

Corrupt and crazy versus old and confused.

Stupid Polling Tricks

Americans don’t want either Trump or Biden! Film at 11.

Indictments Are Hurting Trump

The people want a fast trial and think he’s guilty and should go to jail.

Vice President Kamala Harris participates in a meeting on Native American Voting Rights Tuesday, July 27, 2021, in the Vice President’s Ceremonial Office in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building at the White House. Vice President Kamala Harris participates in a meeting on Native American Voting Rights Tuesday, July 27, 2021, in the Vice President’s Ceremonial Office in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building at the White House.

Kamala Harris Taking Leading Role in 2024 Campaign

A counterintuitive move.

Public Confidence in Military Lowest in Decades

There has been a steady decline the last five years.

Could Trump Really Be President Again?

It’s not nearly as far-fetched as most of us would like to believe.

The Two-Income Trap

It’s just as possible to live on one income as it was in 1970. But not really.

Americans Becoming More Socially Conservative?

Gallup’s annual Values and Beliefs survey has some interesting results.

The Threat of Political Violence

Separating rhetoric from action.

Young Men Becoming More Right-Wing?

Some interesting (and potentially disturbing) polling trends.

Americans Think Neither Biden Nor Trump Mentally Sound to be President

Shockingly, the current President’s numbers are worse than his predecessor’s.

Trump Bolstered by Indictment?

A new poll seems to show that. Be skeptical.

Republicans Divided on Foreign Policy

As memory of the Cold War fades, so does support for American primacy.

Biden Too Old! Trump Pretty Old Too!

Another poll showing the same thing as the other polls.

Trump Remains Odds-On Favorite for 2024 Republican Nomination

As tired as we may be of him, his nominating electorate appears ready for another round.

Approval Polling and Starting to Think about 2024

Some numbers from the Emerson poll.

On Polling and Media Narratives

Some thoughts on polling and the news since 2016.

28% Personally Know Someone Who Died From COVID Vaccines

More than a quarter of Americans know something that isn’t true.

The Perfect President

What Americans say they want in the Oval Office.

Speaking of 2024

Trump currently has a comfortable lead.

Americans Want Compromise

Some numbers from an NPR/PBS Marist
poll.

Voters Don’t Want Biden or Trump to Run in 2024

Americans want some new choices.

Beware The Exit Polls

The numbers aren’t real. Not yet, anyway.

Crystal Ball Final 2022 Ratings

Describe the sound made when a sheep explodes.

Red Wave? Blue Wave? No Wave?

We really have no idea how Tuesday’s election will unfold.

Congressional Control Still Too Close to Call

We likely won’t know on Election Night.

Midterm Polls Shifting Republican

The race is returning to expectation.

2022 Won’t Be Another 1866

Hope is not a COA.

Push Poll Hackery

Manipulating public opinion with dubious survey research.

The Polls Are Essentially Meaningless But They’re Here to Stay

They could be overstating support for Democrats. Or understating it. Or be more or less right.

Democrats and Meh Voters

For the first time in a long time, Presidential approval numbers and voter preferences aren’t’ aligned.

American Ideological Self-Identification

“Moderate” is up, “Liberal” is down, and “Conservative” is static. What does it mean?

Private vs Public Opinion

What we believe and what we say we believe are often not the same.

Dems in Midterms: You’re Saying There’s a Chance?

A 2020 blowout has long been presumed. But maybe it won’t happen.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the passing of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Tuesday, August 10, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the passing of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Tuesday, August 10, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

How Low Can Joe Go?

Approval is down (again).

The January 6 Hearings Didn’t Change Entrenched Opinion

Can American democracy survive its information bubbles?

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The Coming Democratic Majority Isn’t Guaranteed

Ruy Teixeira finds that Hispanics aren’t yet woke.