Polls Find Majority Support For Path To Citizenship For Illegal Immigrants

A positive political climate for immigration reform.

The Disappearing Presidential Honeymoon

Presidential honeymoons aren’t what they used to be, and President Obama’s second term honeymoon isn’t likely to last very long.

GOP, Tea Party Hit New Lows In New Poll

The GOP has a serious image problem.

40 Years Later, Majority Opposes Overturning Roe v. Wade

40 years later, the public continues to support the Supreme Court’s decision in Roe v. Wade.

The Politics Of Gun Control

Based on the polls, the odds of some changes to America’s gun control laws will become law. It’s unlikely they’ll accomplish anything, though.

Republicans Continue To Have An Image Problem

The GOP’s image problems continue

Poll: Americans Support Sacrifice For Others, Not Themselves

A new poll finds strong support for raising taxes on other people and staunch opposition to cutting programs that benefit themselves.

2012 Pollster Rankings: Rasmussen And Gallup Among The Least Accurate

There are some expected and unexpected results in Nate Silver’s review of pollster accuracy in 2012.

The Romney Campaign Was Full Of Poll Denialists

If the Romney campaign looked shocked on Election Night, that’s because they didn’t believe the polls either.

So What Did Silver Opponent Jay Cost Have to Say?

More griping about poor analysis.

Has Nate Silver Ruined Politics?

Is the triumph of political forecasting good for our democracy?

Pundarts!

UnSkewed No More

One More about the UnSkewed v. Reality Discussion

Wherein I get a bit petty (but to make a point and, maybe just because it amuses me).

The UnSkewed Trend

In just four day the UnSkewed prediction has moved Obamaward.

On Election Eve, The Race Is Close But Obama Has The Advantage

The 2012 Election promises to be close in the Popular Voter, but President Obama still retains an Electoral College advantage.

Virginia Now Leans Obama

Democrats Barack Obama and Tim Kaine have gained momentum in Virginia in weekend polling.

Republicans, The Latino Vote, And Immigration

Republicans are going to get trounced among Latino voters tomorrow, and they only have themselves to blame.

Interpretation, Art, and Analysis

The analyst actually wants to understand and be correct far more than he or she wants their preferences to prevail in the analysis