Outside the Beltway

As Democrats gain college-educated voters, they’re losing Hispanics and men.

With record-low poll numbers, the grass roots wants someone new on the ticket next time.

He’s underwater and not going to take it anymore.

The polls do not bode well for Democrats.

Some of his numbers are worse than even Donald Trump’s.

The Commonwealth’s undemocratic political system is, shockingly, unrepresentative of the will of its people.

A pretty good President has numbers comparable to his historically bad predecessor.

Aggregate self-identification doesn’t tell us much, but the breakdowns do.

A new poll offers mixed results.

A majority of Americans are less than sure that Biden won the 2020 election.

Do young Democrats really hate Republicans more than vice-versa?

We’re three short years from the next election.

The average American is neither progressive nor all that interested in politics.

It turns out “the economy” isn’t just one thing.

44% of Republicans strongly disapprove of President Biden’s performance while only 22% of Democrats strongly approve.

Late-breaking news may not matter that much anymore.

The President’s approval has plummeted, largely because of factors outside his control.

We’re an incredibly divided country but splitting it into two is impossible.

Democrats and Independents are losing their enthusiasm. But some perspective is needed.

Almost everyone in households making over $75,000 are protected from COVID.

A lot of Americans think so.

It turns out a 51-50 Senate majority isn’t enough.

A recent poll provides interesting insights.

New polling provides useful insights into the problem.

Republicans are more partisan—and distrustful of government—than Democrats.

President Biden’s pollster has made an amazing discovery.

Refuseniks are far more confident than those already vaccinated.

An explanation to a question you likely weren’t asking.

The disgraced loser remains as popular as ever with his base.

Most Americans have never even heard of it.

Our two-party system distorts the representativeness of our politics.

So says Pew.

Trump brags about being the “most admired” and provides yet another example of poor understanding of data.

A myriad of possible explanations.

A reminder that narratives are narratives and data are data.

Some good news for our democracy.

Some interesting findings from the preeminent Republican polling firm.

It’ll be days before we know the final 2020 results but a resounding repudiation is unlikely.

Monmuth’s latest.

Trump has pulled ahead in some individual polls but Biden continues to have a commanding lead.

Fear of a reprise of 2016 is still with us.

It isn’t unidirectional.

Two prominent media pollsters are hedging their bets.

Alabama’s junior Senator needs my help.

The state polling is not lining up along usual patterns.

Chuck Schumer and company sent a signal to their base against a fait accompli.

Let’s just say Rasmussen is an extreme outlier.

Some surprising poll numbers.

He has the largest lead of any challenger since modern polling began in 1936.