Tuesday’s Forum
Steven L. Taylor
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Tuesday, January 18, 2022
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37 comments
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored
A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog).
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A little walk down memory lane: The 1994 gubernatorial race in Maryland when Democrat Parris Glendening narrowly defeated Republican Ellen Sauerbrey (soon to earn the moniker “Sour Grapes”), who immediately challenged the results in court, claiming massive voter fraud was responsible for the outcome. Being from Maryland, I vaguely remember the episode when it happened. I was 17. But reading about it now, I was struck by the parallels to the present day.
She ran against Glendening again in 1998 and lost handily.
At least she never encouraged her supporters to storm the Maryland capitol building.
As if you didn’t already have enough to worry about: Chemical pollution has passed safe limit for humanity, say scientists
@Kylopod: “History never repeats itself but it rhymes.”
-Mark Twain
On the other hand: Seeing 1,000 glorious fin whales back from near extinction is a rare glimmer of hope
@OzarkHillbilly: Forgot to add, 40 sec. video at the tweet.
@Kylopod: This explains an odd thing that happened in 1999. We were at a wedding and one of the guys seated at our table was the typical horrible wedding guest. Loud, obnoxious and no matter how anyone tried to change the subject he kept coming back to politics. Early on, when he was talking about how corrupt MD Dems were, I pointed out that Spiro Agnew was a Republican. “No he wasn’t. He was really a dem disguised as a Republican!” You know, he was essentially a Trumper. But then he started going off about how black men (of course) had burst into voting sites with machine guns and carried off the ballot boxes. The press and police were in on it and wouldn’t investigate. Yeah, a trumper.
Talked to my youngest last night. He and his all came thru the covid in pretty good shape. He goes back to work today. Lyriel (his 8 mo daughter) probably had it, but her symptoms did not last long. His wife had the hardest time with it and she happened to be the only one not boosted (not yet eligible).
So, get boosted.
Vaccinated and fed up.
Oh to be at the tipping point where pissing off the unvaccinated is a political winner.
@OzarkHillbilly: Glad to hear they all came through it ok! I love your granddaughter’s name, it’s very similar to my youngest daughter’s name, Lyrik. If I’d have thought of Lyriel at the time, though, I’d have picked that! 😛
@Sleeping Dog:
I’m fairly sure Macron was doing several things at once with his “piss them off” statement:
– Reinforcing his reputation for being decisive and blunt spoken: a “non politician” response
– Warning the unvaxxed and anti-vaxxers the French state was not going to back away from a fight if they wanted one, so they might as well get vaccinated.
– Setting a trap for his political opponents. The antivax minority is a generally a Right wing thing, so conservative politicians forced to choose to either annoy mainstream voters, or a section of the “enthusiatic” activists.
Also, reading the article re. Djokovic noticed this:
Somehow I doubt Scott Morrison will lose much sleep over being unpopular in Belgrade 🙂
@MarkedMan:
During his gubernatorial run, his Democratic opponent was George P. Mahoney, an open segregationist, and he ran to Mahoney’s left, earning the support of some liberals and civil-rights leaders. Once in office, he shifted dramatically to the right on race issues and became a hardcore law-and-order guy.
@JohnSF:
A late friend, who was an expert in east Europe affairs, pointed out to me a couple of times that Serbians, were the most difficult national group to deal with in a region full of difficult characters. Joker is typical.
Canberra is a long way from Belgrade, Serbia offers nothing that Oz needs and the Aussie populace is pleased that Joker has been shown the door.
As an observer, this is quite delightful. A political tactic that pants your opponent is something to savor.
Justice Gorsuch is a class-1 jerk.
Via NPR:
Sotomayor was diagnosed as a Type-1 diabetic as a child, back when you had to boil glass syringes to administer insulin.
That a colleague would demonstrate this level of disregard for a vulnerable coworker tells me everything I need to know about Neil Gorsuch. Mostly that he doesn’t deserve to be where he is, because anyone who DNGAF like this shouldn’t be in the position of determining law for others.
@Jen:
… that he’s a trumper.
Far-right Norwegian mass killer Anders Behring Breivik gives Nazi salute at parole hearing
I’m going to go out on a limb here, and say that this is not the best approach to winning over the parole board, unless he knows something about the parole board that others do not.
@Gustopher:
Aaaaand…Breivik has a Swedish neo-Nazi leader testifying on his behalf as well. That ought to go down really well with the parole board.
@MarkedMan: Well that, too, but remember that Amy Covid Barrett has pledged that justices don’t go to work with ideological agendas, so he’s just a waste of communal air, not a partisan hack.
This weekend’s project.
Before
After
Label
I still need to go in an mask off the label closer, feather out the paint by hand, and paint that halo in.
When I started, I didn’t realize that the entire thing is steel-clad (I’ve got picks of it completely stripped and shiny). Half a day with wire wheels on a drill (and occasionally running across my hand) to strip, smooth, and polish the steel. Another 2 halves with tape and a matte-knife blade cutting the masking.
The paint I used for the first coat was terrible. It ran and dripped all over, so I had to go back and hand-sand that down and re-apply (definitely go with Rustoleum over Krylon).
I’ll do a little bit of smoothing of the wood on the inside (still haven’t decided if I should varnish it or not). And then… It’ll sit on a shelf until I die. 🙁
Things are getting very, very twitchy in the Baltic.
Sweden deploys military reinforcements to the island of Gotland .
Appears related to Russian Baltic Fleet activities.
Possibly also to reports of drone activity in Swedish airspace.
A lot of Swedes think it is a typically unsubtle Russian response to Sweden recently repeating that it has the right to join NATO and may do so.
Meanwhile not far away, RAF transports are delivering anti-tank missiles to Ukraine and providing training and support services: Operation ORBITAL.
In Berlin Chancellor Scholz and NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg meet, and state:
Sleep well.
@JohnSF:
This does not bode well.
You know how the pro-COVID faction keeps saying people are dying of comorbidities and not COVID? Rebecca Watson has a video and post about the latest false claims on that.
I was thinking, why not add “unvaccinated for SARS-CoV-2” to the list of comorbidities?
@Jax: Her full name is Lyriel Persephone.
Lyriel means lyrical. Persephone is the goddess of the underground, which as a caver I rather like. She is also the “embodiment of spring”.
So, a lyrical spring.
@Mu Yixiao: Looking good.
I’d like to hear “questions, comments, observations” from any of you good ol’ souls about the magazine subscription offer I got this morning:
Strangely enough, just last night I heard from a long-time friend that he and his sweetie are leaving the neo-lib enclave of Canby* for scenic Hattiesburg, MS.
*ironic labeling – Canby is a rural-ish enclave that tilts pretty hard-right in liberal Portland area, IIRC. But they’re both staunch R’s, anti-gummint, etc., etc.
Some good news:
There’s been a hilarious fake trailer for a Weird Al Biopic named “Weird” running around the internet for several years. Apparently the people behind the fake trailer are making an actual Weird Al Biopic named “Weird” starting Daniel Radcliffe as Yankovic
@flat earth luddite:
Aside from the “southern culture” aspect of it, “Gardens and Guns” sounds like a bog-standard conservationist magazine.
The vast majority of people on OTB equate gun ownership with radical militias and Ruby Ridge radicals. The incredibly bad leadership of the NRA has done a whole lot to encourage this.
Liberals see all guns as “things designed to kill people”. If I were to walk around my rural area and ask people two questions–1) do you own a gun? 2) why do you own a gun?–answer 1 would be very high on the “yes” side. And answer 2 would be very high on the “hunting” side.
My father owned 5 guns. Two were historic and couldn’t be fired. Of the other three, all were for hunting–a shotgun for fowl, a .22 for small game, and a .30-06 for deer.
If you do a little research, you’ll find that significant amounts of DNR funding comes from the license fees from hunters. You’ll also find that hunters and fishermen are some of the most vocal and aggressive defenders of nature conservation–including strict enforcement of environmental protection laws.
Here’s another example of messaging that the Dems are fucking up: Hunters and fishermen are absolutely more aggressive about–and personally invested in–environmentalism than urban Dems (who’ve probably never seen a copse, much less a woods or a forest). But those Dems demonize “the rural hicks” and paint them as dangerous because they own hunting rifles.
And a pet peeve: Anyone who says that “assault weapons” (a completely made-up category based on looks) are more dangerous needs to watch the opening to The Rifleman. 12 shots in ~5 seconds using a 1892 Winchester lever-action rifle.
The far right and the NRA are overly aggressive and pig-headed in their position. The left is uninformed and paranoid in their position.
Agree that hunters are often really good environmentalists. However, shooting your lever action that fast means about zero accuracy. The fast pull guys working on an AR 15 can hit 5-6 shots per second. Would be a lot more accurate though still not great I would expect.
Steve
@Mu Yixiao:
Thanks, I was afraid I’d be hearing the echo of silence on this one. Although your comments make me think that either I was hearing a dog whistle that wasn’t there, or you’re ignoring a dog whistle that was there.
To paraphrase Tom Selleck from the movie, just because I don’t carry a gun doesn’t mean I don’t know how to use one. That’s a common mistake that a lot of people on the right make.
@steve:
In Pennsylvania, at least, semi-automatic rifles are banned for hunting big game (and have only been allowed for small game and furbearers since 2017). Big game also requires a minimum caliber of .24, so even if semi-automatics were allowed, AR-15s would still be banned for being too small caliber.
@CSK: Yeah, Norwegians have such fond memories of those years when Quisling danced on Hitler’s puppet strings.
@Mu Yixiao:
They *are* – even hunting and self-defense involve hurting or killing a live thing. What good are they for hunting if they don’t take game down? Even the deterrent part of the equation comes from the fact they are intended to kill or it wouldn’t give people pause. It’s a tool after all and it’s purpose is extremely clear. Guns are not inherently evil but pretending the tool was designed to be what it’s not is a reason why liberals distrust gun enthusiasts. It’s deliberately misleading to stay “guns don’t kill, people do” because there’s no such item as one that doesn’t inflict harm by design. The NRA had a lot more credibility when they were a group about gun safety and understood the point of responsible ownership was to grasp the fact you are indeed carrying around a weapon created to inflict death.
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@JohnSF: “Sweden deploys military reinforcements to the island of Gotland .”
What fun. Let’s hope they can put off the shootin’ war until I leave Gotland in mid-February…
@flat earth luddite: My wife — California born and raised, a New Yorker for the last six years — subscribed to G&G for a few years. She works in the high-end housewares industry, and there were a lot of decorative things in there that interested her. Also, lots of interesting recipes and really great photography. And wonderful pictures of hounds in every issue.
The magazine sells the high-end version of Southern culture with the politics, racism and hate stripped out. Which is not meant as a criticism, by the way…
@Mu Yixiao: “urban Dems (who’ve probably never seen a copse, much less a woods or a forest).”
Yes, the fact that we live in cities means that we all hate nature, or have no idea what it is, and have never ever ever ever ever stepped off the concrete sidewalk to see a tree.
Honestly, the contempt with which rural people treat urbanites is far more routine than the other way around. But I guess that’s because you guys are the real Americans and we’re just the people who are lucky enough to pay to maintain your lifestyle
@Mu Yixiao:
This strikes me as a substantial exaggeration.
@wr:
Thanks! I may have to take them up on the freebie. Apparently I was hearing a non existent did whistle – musta been the tinnitus!
@Flat Earth Luddite: I had the same feeling when my wife said she wanted to subscribe… but it turns out to be much more Tom Petty southern than Lee Greenwood southern…